Jerome Powell’s term as Fed chair is set to end in May, while his term as a governor runs until January 2028
Scott Bessent, who is overseeing the shortlist, recently said Trump is expected to meet the three finalists after Thanksgiving, on November 27, with a final decision likely before Christmas.
Bessent noted that Powell's term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, and that he should see out his full term if he wants to.
Powell’s remarks prompted traders to pare back expectations for a December rate cut, with the policy-sensitive yield on two-year Treasuries rising as much as eight basis points to 4.36% Thursday.
The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter-point, following a larger reduction in September, to address declining inflation and support the job market. The new rate stands at 4.6%, down from a high of 5.3%. While the Fed initially projected more rate cuts, ongoing economic growth and expectations of higher inflation under a Trump presidency may impact future decisions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that election results won’t affect short-term rate decisions and emphasized the goal of gradually lowering the rate to a "neutral" level. Concerns remain about potential political interference in the Fed’s independent decisions.
Officials voted unanimously to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%
Powell's tone was optimistic, contributing to a rally in the stock market. The S&P 500 saw its largest gain since February, while Treasury yields fell and the dollar weakened against other major currencies.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hints at a potential rate cut in September, sparking expectation of positive impact on Indian equity markets and emerging market investments.
After some persistently high inflation reports at the start of 2024, Powell said, the data for April and May "do suggest we are getting back on a disinflationary path."
U.S. stocks gained slightly in early trading, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that while recent inflation readings mean it will likely take longer than expected for central bank officials to become comfortable that inflation will resume its decline
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has said interest rate cuts are on track this year while reiterating focus on inflation goal of 2 percent
Traders have cut odds that the US central bank will reduce rates to 49%, from 73% a month ago, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, as data reinforces a view that the U.S. economy remains solid.
Bloomberg’s monthly survey shows the median expectation is for the US central bank to reduce the benchmark rate by 25 basis points at the June 2024 policy meeting, followed by three more cuts in the second half of the year. The benchmark has been in a range of 5.25% to 5.5% since July.
Narrowing interest rate differential between US and India markets raises the risk of foreign fund outflows, especially if future data points to more rate hikes. Investors should prepare for volatility