ICICIdirect.com has come out with its report on currency. According to the research firm, the US dollar is expected to get buying support on declines against the INR. One can utilise the lows in the US$/INR April contract to buy.
Forex (US$/INR)
The rupee opened stronger on the back of an improvement in global risk sentiment following the announcement of the Cyprus bailout deal. Easing of norms for FIIs in debt markets also aided sentiment. However, gains were slightly pared in later trade tracking losses in domestic equities. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister’s economic advisor said India’s Q3FY13 current account deficit could be high, ahead of official data due to be released later this week
The rupee ended at 54.17, up 0.30% from the previous day’s close of 54.33
The dollar index against six major currencies was at 82.89, up 0.60 from its previous close
US$/INR derivatives strategy: Buy April contract
In the currency futures market, the most traded dollar-rupee April contract on the NSE closed at 54.60. The April contract open interest was up 34.20% from the previous day
The May contract open interest was down 51.20% from the previous day
We expect the US dollar to get buying support on declines against the INR. Utilise the lows in the US$/INR April contract to buy
Intra-day strategy
| USD/ INR April futures contract (NSE) | View: Bullish on USD |
| Buy USDINR above 54.38 | Market Lot: USD1000 |
| Target: 54.56/54.64 | Stop Loss: 54.29 |
| Support: S1/ S2: 54.38/ 53.20 | Resistance: R1/R2: 54.80/ 54.95 |
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
To read the full report click on the attachment
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