Lok Sabha Exit Poll 2024

Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll Date, Time, and Live Streaming: The 7-phased General Elections 2024 in India started on April 19, 2024, and concluding on June 1, 2024. The anticipation around the Lok Sabha 2024 exit polls is high, as they will predict whether the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) or the Congress-led opposition INDIA (Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance) bloc will form the next government. The Election Commission (ECI) has restricted news channels from publishing exit poll results until 6:00 PM on June 1, 2024, the final day of voting. Following this, news channels are expected to begin revealing their projections between 6:30 PM and 7:00 PM. These projections will also be live-streamed on various social media platforms, including YouTube. Stay connected with Moneycontrol for Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll Live Updates on June 1, 2024.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is aiming for a third consecutive term at the Centre, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi potentially achieving a hat-trick of terms in office. Modi, the Member of Parliament from Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, where he contested his first Lok Sabha election in 2014, is contesting this seat for the third consecutive time. His primary opponent is Ajay Rai, the Congress party\'s state unit chief, who finished third in both the 2014 and 2019 elections.

Throughout the election phases, voter turnout varied significantly. Phase 1, held on April 19, 2024, saw a voter turnout of 66.14% across 102 constituencies in 21 states. Phase 2, on April 26, 2024, recorded a 66.71% turnout in 88 constituencies across 13 states. Phase 3, conducted on May 7, 2024, had a turnout of 65.68% across 94 constituencies in 11 states. On May 13, 2024, Phase 4 witnessed a 69.16% turnout across 96 constituencies in 10 states. Phase 5, on May 20, 2024, saw a 62.2% turnout in 49 constituencies across 8 states. Phase 6, held on May 25, 2024, recorded a 63.37% turnout in 58 constituencies across 8 states. The voter turnout for Phase 7, which will be held on June 1, 2024, is yet to be announced and will cover 57 constituencies in 8 states.

Reflecting on the accuracy of exit polls in 2019, multiple agencies released their predictions after the final phase on May 19. A compilation of eight prominent exit polls (Axis My India, Ipsos, Today\'s Chanakya, VMR, CNX, Polstrat, Cvoter, and CSDS) projected 312 seats for the BJP-led NDA and 114 seats for the Congress-led UPA. The NDA ultimately won 353 seats in the Lok Sabha, while the UPA secured only 91. Within this, the BJP won 303 seats and the Congress got 52. Although the exit polls accurately predicted that the NDA would surpass 300 seats and retain power, most underestimated the actual number of seats it won. India Today-Axis My India and Today\'s Chanakya were the most accurate, predicting over 350 seats for the NDA and just 93-95 for the UPA. In contrast, ABP-CSDS had predicted only 277 seats for the NDA and 130 for the UPA, erroneously suggesting that the BJP would need the help of allies to form the government. This significant deviation highlighted the varying accuracy of different exit polls.