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Vijay Kumar Gaba

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Equal India Foundation

Bond market cues: Indian equities might be pricing in a stronger economy

BUSINESS

Bond market cues: Indian equities might be pricing in a stronger economy

The Indian equities might be pricing in a stronger economy and there could be some scope for disappointment. A rise in benchmark yields to 7.25-7.5% (as presently forecasted by most analysts) could cool the heated equity markets

A mix of large and midcap stocks would be the ideal equity investment strategy for 2022

MARKETS

A mix of large and midcap stocks would be the ideal equity investment strategy for 2022

Despite highest ever exports, the current account deficit has continued to rise. The RBI has managed the currency market very well and INR exchange rates have remained much stable

Four standout takeaways for the stock market from FY22

MARKETS

Four standout takeaways for the stock market from FY22

During the year, the country faced numerous macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges. Considering the circumstances, the Indian stock market did extremely well in FY22

Media consolidation: The stock market's tryst with reality

MARKETS

Media consolidation: The stock market's tryst with reality

Both Nifty and Nifty Midcap might be trading very close to their fair value based on likely FY23 earnings. Any upside from the current levels would depend on the higher visibility of FY24 earnings.

We are headed towards a boring market not a bear market: Vijay Kumar Gaba

BUSINESS

We are headed towards a boring market not a bear market: Vijay Kumar Gaba

Market participants in India are not in a risk-off mood as yet. How long this trend will continue is tough to predict at this point in time as the situation is too fluid and the negative factors clearly outweigh the positive factors

Wondering what next? Ignore the near-term turbulence and stay put

BUSINESS

Wondering what next? Ignore the near-term turbulence and stay put

Invest in businesses that are likely to do well and have consistently enhanced shareholder value. These need not be the 'hot sectors' and also not be large enough to find place in benchmark indices

View: A storm developing in bond street

BUSINESS

View: A storm developing in bond street

YTD 2022, the benchmark 10yr yield has seen a sharp surge, rising over 55bps. With this the benchmark yields are higher by 100bps from 2020 lows. The higher yields have however not transmitted to the lending rates.

View: The big positives and one vital negative in Budget 2022

BUSINESS

View: The big positives and one vital negative in Budget 2022

The initiatives like digital education platforms, health registry, and documents registry could potentially bring a meaningful difference to many lives.

An investor’s prelude to the Union Budget for FY23

BUSINESS

An investor’s prelude to the Union Budget for FY23

The growth rate is likely to settle in below potential 6-7% range once the low base effect of FY21 and FY22 wanes

Why is the market worried? Here are the real reasons

MARKETS

Why is the market worried? Here are the real reasons

The sharp correction in equity prices is nothing unusual, says Vijay Kumar Gaba

View: The key to making money in financial markets lies in hopelessness, not in hope

BUSINESS

View: The key to making money in financial markets lies in hopelessness, not in hope

Some market indicators show that the stock market performance is mostly alienated from the economic, social and economic realities, at least in the short period of one to two years

Strong start for the markets: Trends to watch for short-term traders

BUSINESS

Strong start for the markets: Trends to watch for short-term traders

One section of the market participants has grown extra cautious, fearing that this strong start to the year may fizzle out soon as the economic realities begin to hit harder.

Next year will be nothing like 2021 for investors

BUSINESS

Next year will be nothing like 2021 for investors

The two themes that will stand out in 2022 are survival – living with COVID-19 – and sustainability, with greater focus on Climate Change 

Financial markets: Small, incremental changes won't cut it anymore

TRENDS

Financial markets: Small, incremental changes won't cut it anymore

The advent of new technologies, new products, new set of investors, new methods of valuations and different risk profiles perhaps require a fresh approach to the financial markets regulatory framework.

Markets in search of a direction as year-end nears

BUSINESS

Markets in search of a direction as year-end nears

Once market participants are able to assess the impact of these factors on future earnings and market performance, we shall see a new leadership emerging in the markets.

Cryptocurrencies a bad omen for gold

TRENDS

Cryptocurrencies a bad omen for gold

Some argue that gold has an ‘intrinsic’ value whereas cryptocurrencies have none. The intrinsic value of gold developed over many centuries of wider acceptance by the State and religion. This intrinsic value has been in decline for the past few decades

How investors can navigate uncertainties in Samvat 2078

BUSINESS

How investors can navigate uncertainties in Samvat 2078

There is little margin for error in the market as evident from the recent episodes of violent market reactions to marginally below expectation results and adverse policy decisions 

RBI comforts the markets

BUSINESS

RBI comforts the markets

A large number of forecasters had expected RBI to hike the reverse repo rate to signal a change in the policy stance and end quantitative easing

Greed is not always good – how to make sense of the current market

BUSINESS

Greed is not always good – how to make sense of the current market

Many factors that are being cited as the cause of increasing volatility have been around for some time. Greed is the dominant sentiment

Analysis | Evergrande and its likely positive implications for India

BUSINESS

Analysis | Evergrande and its likely positive implications for India

India has had its share of defaulting companies but it is pertinent for Indian investors to understand the Evergrande episode and its likely implications for the economy and the markets in the right perspective

Seven challenges before the Indian economy fully recovers

BUSINESS

Seven challenges before the Indian economy fully recovers

The challenges before the government are multi-fold, and so are the opportunities. A successful resolution of these could trigger a virtuous cycle of growth, and catapult the economy to the higher orbit 

Taper Tantrums | Much ado about nothing

BUSINESS

Taper Tantrums | Much ado about nothing

There is little evidence to highlight any strong correlation between QE and foreign flows, market showing and economic growth 

How should stock market investors manage risk?

BUSINESS

How should stock market investors manage risk?

What is risk? How should investors manage risk? Here’s a primer for newbies and experienced investors.

What’s worrying the stocks market? Three factors actually

MARKETS

What’s worrying the stocks market? Three factors actually

The economy is showing signs of faster-than-anticipated recovery, earnings were robust, institutional inflows are ticking and yet, something is gnawing at the markets.

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