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Allison Schrager

Opinion Columnist

Bloomberg

Trump risks making the same economic mistakes as Biden

BUSINESS

Trump risks making the same economic mistakes as Biden

Much like his predecessor, the current president is eager to talk about the benefits of his policies but reluctant to confront their costs

Harris or Trump: America’s free-lunch economy is over

WORLD

Harris or Trump: America’s free-lunch economy is over

Higher interest rates mean that the next president, whoever it is, will find it much harder to reduce taxes and increase spending

What makes economies grow? It’s not tariffs

BUSINESS

What makes economies grow? It’s not tariffs

By proposing trade barriers and tariffs, politicians are promising a return to an idealized past, but successful economic policy is focused on the future

Inequality isn’t the problem. Uneven growth is

BUSINESS

Inequality isn’t the problem. Uneven growth is

The focus should be less on the gap between rich and poor and more on how to ensure that economic gains are widely shared

US recession fears should be much milder this time

BUSINESS

US recession fears should be much milder this time

The economy is in much better condition now than it was a decade and a half ago, so a downturn is less scary

The private equity bubble is about to deflate

BUSINESS

The private equity bubble is about to deflate

Whether valuations fall suddenly or gradually, the industry is due for a reckoning, and the consequences for the economy are dire

US Markets: Volatility is about to make a comeback

BUSINESS

US Markets: Volatility is about to make a comeback

A transformative period may be imminent for the US and global economy — and it will bring more risk

Private equity is no place for your nest egg

BUSINESS

Private equity is no place for your nest egg

Yes, public markets are risky, but at least they are transparent, and they remain the best option for all but the most experienced investors

Cancer horoscope Today, May 19, 2024: Ganesha says Sharp thinking can aid in making swift and correct financial decisions today

BUSINESS

Cancer horoscope Today, May 19, 2024: Ganesha says Sharp thinking can aid in making swift and correct financial decisions today

Today could be favorable for stock market professionals. Entrepreneurs may find opportunities to grow their businesses. However, they might encounter challenges in educational pursuits. Valuable advice from them could prove beneficial in the professional environment.

Higher for longer? Rates could be higher forever

BUSINESS

Higher for longer? Rates could be higher forever

If borrowing costs remain elevated, there will be greater downside risk for investments. But it's not all bad

Think Gen Z has it too hard? Too easy? You're right

BUSINESS

Think Gen Z has it too hard? Too easy? You're right

In the war among the generations over how hard it was when they were young, everyone has a point

Do passive investors make markets less efficient? The answer is no

BUSINESS

Do passive investors make markets less efficient? The answer is no

Can markets still be efficient if most investors aren’t even paying attention? Surprisingly, the answer is yes

US housing market could be pitting Gen Z against the millennials

BUSINESS

US housing market could be pitting Gen Z against the millennials

When rates were low, many homeowners — including millennials — locked in low rates and now won’t move. This will restrict supply and keep prices high. As Gen Z looks to buy their starter homes, they will face both high rates and high prices. It may be years before the housing market is affordable again. This could create even more intergenerational conflict between cheap-mortgage-paying millennials and high-rent-paying Gen Zers

Constitutional or not, wealth taxes are bad economics

BUSINESS

Constitutional or not, wealth taxes are bad economics

Subjecting companies to an annual tax on their value would create an incentive to keep companies private, because the firm's value will be easier to manipulate. A tax on unrealised gains would probably lead to wealthy people keeping most of their wealth in privately owned assets. This reduces transparency and deprives others the chance to invest in growing companies

The US economy is dynamic again, but will it last?

BUSINESS

The US economy is dynamic again, but will it last?

No doubt the post-pandemic boom in new business formation is promising. But it probably won’t transform the economy anytime soon as small biz is vulnerable to recessions. Like working from home, another trend enabled by technology, working for yourself will require a change in culture and norms. And that could take a while

US automobile industry sees the spectre of pensions raising its head again

BUSINESS

US automobile industry sees the spectre of pensions raising its head again

Pensions have been cited as one of the reasons for the decline of the US automobile industry. They are no longer a fit for the modern economy where younger workers are more likely to change jobs, and so would be better off with higher pay and a more portable plan, such as a 401(k)

Big US stocks surely can't outperform forever

BUSINESS

Big US stocks surely can't outperform forever

Was Warren Buffet right all along and you should just invest in the S&P 500 with a bit in bonds as a hedge? Yes — at least so far

Pension funds share blame for private equity’s horror stories

BUSINESS

Pension funds share blame for private equity’s horror stories

The promise of high returns — whether true or not — has encouraged retirement funds to pour money into PE investments, with terrible results

Even a recession might not tame inflation

BUSINESS

Even a recession might not tame inflation

There are a lot of moving parts to the economy, and as the last three years have demonstrated, things don’t always work as you expect

Less work is making people more unhappy

TRENDS

Less work is making people more unhappy

A four-day week is the ultimate worker fantasy, yet we’re already working less than previous generations and feeling more burned out

Fed’s credibility can’t take a soft landing

BUSINESS

Fed’s credibility can’t take a soft landing

If it doesn’t want to push the economy into recession, the central bank will probably have to abandon its 2 percent inflation target

We’re probably all wrong about interest rates

BUSINESS

We’re probably all wrong about interest rates

The widely accepted idea that rates will eventually fall back to pre-pandemic levels is based on economic theories that may turn out to be backward

A soft landing won’t mean the economy is safe

BUSINESS

A soft landing won’t mean the economy is safe

Even a “Goldilocks” Fed will have to deal with the three bears of inflation, disease and politics

Generation Z is getting a harsh lesson in stock risk

WORLD

Generation Z is getting a harsh lesson in stock risk

A whole new crop of investors is learning that bear markets are a fact of life and should adjust accordingly

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