The US-Israel combined strikes that reshaped political dynamics in Iran were not a matter of hours; they were preceded by years of covert penetration into Iran’s surveillance and communications networks to monitor Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his inner security circle ahead of the air strike that killed him in Tehran, according to a Financial Times report.
It was the result of a meticulously coordinated, long-running intelligence campaign that brought together cyber intrusions, signals intercepts, and human assets to construct what officials described as a comprehensive “pattern of life” profile of senior Iranian leaders.
How was the attack planned for years?
US-Israel coordination and final decision
According to officials cited in reports by the Financial Times, CNN, and Associated Press, US and Israeli intelligence had closely tracked Khamenei’s schedule, residences, and meeting patterns.
When intelligence indicated that Khamenei and several senior political and military figures would gather at a compound in Tehran on Saturday morning, the window was seen as unusually advantageous. Officials assessed that once full-scale war began, top leaders would likely move into hardened underground bunkers.
US officials reportedly contributed additional intelligence, including a human source, though the CIA declined public comment.
At 3.38 pm eastern time on Friday, President Donald Trump gave the order to proceed with what was described as Operation Epic Fury, the US-led strikes on Iran. The US military conducted cyber operations to disrupt Iranian command and control systems before Israeli jets moved in.
Daylight strike and precision munitions
Originally, planners had considered a nighttime assault, but sources told CNN the timing was changed to daylight. Around 6 am local time in Israel, fighter jets fired precision-guided munitions at the compound, according to reports.
An unnamed Israeli military official told the Associated Press that three targets were struck within 60 seconds, killing Khamenei and roughly 40 senior officials, including the head of the Revolutionary Guard. The official said that carrying out the operation in daylight added an element of surprise.
Israeli officials said that pilots used long-range precision weapons capable of hitting small targets from over 1,000 kilometres away. “We took their eyes first,” one intelligence official said, referring to the disabling of air defences before the strike.
Strategic debate and long-term campaign
The killing of such a senior political and religious leader marked a significant escalation and has triggered debate within Israel and abroad about the long-term strategic consequences.
Former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon had directed Mossad in 2001 to prioritise Iran as a top intelligence target, according to former officials. Since then, Israel has been accused of carrying out assassinations of nuclear scientists and military figures, as well as cyber and covert operations targeting Iran’s strategic capabilities.
At the same time, Iranian intelligence agencies have conducted counter-operations, including cyber intrusions and surveillance efforts inside Israel, according to Israeli prosecutors and officials.
Sima Shine, a former Mossad official, described the shift in Israeli doctrine after the October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas, which Israel says was backed by Iran. “In Hebrew, we say, ‘With the food comes the appetite’,” she said. “In other words, the more you have, the more you want.”
Not all operational details surrounding the strike have been made public, and some may remain classified to protect intelligence methods still in use.
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