Deepan Kapadia believes earnings recovery appears gradual but increasingly broad-based. December quarter results indicate margin stabilisation and improving demand in financials, industrials, and select consumption segments.
While some see the pact as a meaningful catalyst for India’s export competitiveness and supply-chain integration with Europe, others caution that tariff asymmetries, regulatory hurdles, and long implementation timelines could blunt the immediate upside.
"Mid-caps offer earnings growth that is around two to three percentage points higher than large caps, which can justify slightly higher volatility for medium- to long-term investors. Small caps, however, are significantly ahead of their long-term valuation averages and remain vulnerable to volatility," says Upadhyaya.
Negotiations for the India–EU FTA concluded on January 27, with implementation expected in 2026, subject to legal vetting and approvals. The agreement provides for wide-ranging tariff reductions, harmonised standards and lower non-tariff barriers.
The Nifty 50 needs to climb and sustain above 25,400–25,500 for a further upward journey toward 25,600–25,750. Until then, consolidation may be seen, with support in the 25,200–25,160 zone, according to experts.
The market may consolidate after the two-day gains, with support placed at the previous day’s low. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Momentum indicators are signalling improving strength, but the Nifty 50 is still trading below all key moving averages (except the 200 DEMA).
For the year so far, FIIs have been net sellers of shares worth Rs 43,288 crore, while DIIs have net bought shares worth Rs 67,182 crore
Point Break Capital exited Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers by selling entire shareholding of 12 lakh shares (1.73 percent stake) at Rs 133 per share for Rs 15.96 crore.
“It is too early to tell that right now, but definitely it is opening up a new market for us,” BEL's CMD Manoj Jain said during the defence major’s Q3FY26 earnings call.
Diversification is now the dominant strategy in a fragmenting global trade system. But it remains a strategy of margins, not miracles.
Nearly 50% of India’s export potential to the EU is still unrealised, at a time when Indian exporters are being hit by a 50% US tariff and urgently need a substitute market.
Weekly options data suggested that the Nifty 50 is likely to face immediate resistance at the 25,400–25,500 levels, with support at 25,300–25,200.
The immediate winners, as mentioned in Jefferies' latest note, are labour-intensive sectors where India has long been tariff-disadvantaged.
While safe-haven demand and industrial catalysts remain supportive, experts caution that this is not the optimal entry point for fresh allocations.
Sensex, Nifty rose amid strong buying on optimism over the India-European Union free trade agreement.
Given the global geopolitical backdrop, investors are not expecting aggressive stimulus. Instead, clarity on capex continuity, sectoral incentives, and fiscal credibility would be more reassuring, said Amnish
On January 27, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the equity market, offloading shares worth over Rs 3,000 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) provided strong support by purchasing equities worth nearly Rs 9,000 crore.
In conversation with Moneycontrol, Tyagi spoke about why he believes the budget continues to be a “non-event” for the market and why he believes that consumption could finally see the much awaited turnaround.
The Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty needs stronger momentum and technical indicators for follow-through buying interest. Until then, there could be range-bound trading for a few more sessions.
The market is expected to remain range-bound amid a rising India VIX. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Technical and momentum indicators still favour bears, with a cautious signal from the rising VIX. Experts expect the benchmark index to remain in the 24,900–25,500 range in the short term.
For the year so far, FIIs have been net sellers of shares worth Rs 40810 crore, while DIIs have net bought shares worth Rs 54821 crore.
The fund house said Arthaya SIF will roll out multiple strategies over time, subject to regulatory approvals. The first strategy under the platform is expected to be launched in the coming months.
The US hedge fund has been increasing shareholding in Antony Waste Handling Cell, the solid waste management solutions provider.