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Siddharth Upasani

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RBI Policy: MSP hike to push up CPI forecast by only 10-12 bps, says Deputy Governor Patra

BUSINESS

RBI Policy: MSP hike to push up CPI forecast by only 10-12 bps, says Deputy Governor Patra

As per the RBI's latest forecasts, headline retail inflation is seen averaging 5.1 percent in 2023-24

RBI Policy: FY24 CPI forecast now 5.1%, big cut in Q1 projection

BUSINESS

RBI Policy: FY24 CPI forecast now 5.1%, big cut in Q1 projection

The central bank's April-June 2023 CPI inflation forecast has been cut to 4.6 percent from 5.1 percent, but the forecasts for the second half of 2023-24 were left unchanged

RBI Policy: Pause, not pivot, likely again on June 8 amid calls for change in stance

BUSINESS

RBI Policy: Pause, not pivot, likely again on June 8 amid calls for change in stance

Some economists think the MPC should now get out of withdrawal of accommodation and into neutral gear. However, that may only spark hopes of an interest rate cut — something policymakers will want to avoid.

In Charts: How the Indian economy has fared since RBI's April 6 rate decision

BUSINESS

In Charts: How the Indian economy has fared since RBI's April 6 rate decision

The Indian central bank looks at a variety of economic indicators before making its interest rate decision. How have some of these data points moved since the Monetary Policy Committee last met?

Ahead of MPC meet, IIM survey shows firms' inflation expectations edged down to 4.31% in April

BUSINESS

Ahead of MPC meet, IIM survey shows firms' inflation expectations edged down to 4.31% in April

Inflation expectations are keenly eyed by policymakers as anchoring them is critical to ensuring price stability

How a 10-year bond crashed and burnt out in just 8 months

BUSINESS

How a 10-year bond crashed and burnt out in just 8 months

The government's wholesale inflation-indexed bonds were issued in 2013. But they were as good as dead in less than a year after seismic changes in Indian policy.

India's impressive GDP data has some puzzling elements

BUSINESS

India's impressive GDP data has some puzzling elements

The blockbuster headline January-March and full year GDP numbers have left the government rather chuffed. But some aspects of the data need further explanation

Chief Economic Adviser Nageswaran bullish about growth prospects after blowout GDP data

BUSINESS

Chief Economic Adviser Nageswaran bullish about growth prospects after blowout GDP data

The better-than-expected GDP numbers for January-March and 2022-23 have given confidence to the Indian government's top economist to say that risks to his growth forecast of 6.5 percent for 2023-24 are now evenly balanced

India GDP numbers beat expectations, January-March growth at 6.1%

BUSINESS

India GDP numbers beat expectations, January-March growth at 6.1%

For 2022-23, the statistics ministry has estimated a GDP growth of 7.2 percent.

Centre meets FY23 fiscal deficit target of 6.4% of GDP

BUSINESS

Centre meets FY23 fiscal deficit target of 6.4% of GDP

In absolute terms, the central government's fiscal deficit in 2022-23 was Rs 17.33 lakh crore as against the revised estimate of Rs 17.55 lakh crore.

RBI dividend to govt could have been Rs 1.2 lakh crore if not for risk buffer change

BUSINESS

RBI dividend to govt could have been Rs 1.2 lakh crore if not for risk buffer change

The Indian central bank transferred a larger-than-expected dividend of Rs 87,416 crore to the central government for 2022-23. However, data in the RBI's annual report shows it could have been even larger

RBI Annual Report: Standing Deposit Facility costs RBI Rs 7,445 crore in first year

BUSINESS

RBI Annual Report: Standing Deposit Facility costs RBI Rs 7,445 crore in first year

The Standing Deposit Facility was introduced by the RBI on April 8, 2022 - more than 8 years after it was first recommended by the Urjit Patel committee.

RBI Annual Report: Provisions, forex gains hit record highs in FY23

BUSINESS

RBI Annual Report: Provisions, forex gains hit record highs in FY23

A 50 percent increase in the central bank's foreign exchange gains helped it transfer Rs 87,416 crore as dividend to the central government in 2022-23

Economists, policymakers spar over India's growth narrative ahead of national election

BUSINESS

Economists, policymakers spar over India's growth narrative ahead of national election

India may be the fastest-growing large economy, but two sets of economists and policymakers – current and former – don't see eye to eye when it comes to the underlying growth story.

Urban unemployment hit new low of 6.8% in January-March as per govt survey

BUSINESS

Urban unemployment hit new low of 6.8% in January-March as per govt survey

The urban unemployment rate fell even as the Labour Force Participation Rate increased to 48.5 percent.

India's January-March GDP growth seen rising to 5.1%: economists' poll

BUSINESS

India's January-March GDP growth seen rising to 5.1%: economists' poll

The statistics ministry will release GDP data for January-March and the first provisional estimate for 2022-23 GDP at 5:30pm on May 31

No comment on RBI policy, but see US Fed pausing in June: CEA Nageswaran

INDIA

No comment on RBI policy, but see US Fed pausing in June: CEA Nageswaran

Both the Indian and US central banks are set to meet in the first half of June to decide on interest rates.

Urban consumption ended FY23 at over-three-year high but may fall in FY24: QuantEco Research

BUSINESS

Urban consumption ended FY23 at over-three-year high but may fall in FY24: QuantEco Research

According to QuantEco Research's economists, air passenger traffic and demand for petrol have fueled urban consumption. However, the sharp increase in interest rates over the past year is expected to weaken consumption this year

India's pre-pandemic long-term inflation rate seen at 4.3%: RBI staff analysis

BUSINESS

India's pre-pandemic long-term inflation rate seen at 4.3%: RBI staff analysis

The Reserve Bank of India adopted the flexible inflation targeting framework in early 2014, with the formal acceptance of a medium-term target of 4 percent only taking place in the second half of 2016.

RBI sold $213 billion on gross basis in FY23, up 120% from FY22

BUSINESS

RBI sold $213 billion on gross basis in FY23, up 120% from FY22

As per latest RBI data, the central bank purchased $750 million worth of foreign currency in March on a net basis.

Black money finds no mention in RBI Governor Das' address on Rs 2,000 notes

BUSINESS

Black money finds no mention in RBI Governor Das' address on Rs 2,000 notes

The central bank chief's comments come amid speculation that the RBI's decision last week to withdraw Rs 2,000 notes from circulation will hit holders of black money in the country.

Interview: Fitch sees India doing all it can to cut fiscal deficit to 4.5% by FY26

BUSINESS

Interview: Fitch sees India doing all it can to cut fiscal deficit to 4.5% by FY26

According to Jeremy Zook, Fitch’s primary rating analyst for India, India’s revenue growth may soon plateau and require fiscal consolidation to be supported by expenditure cuts

Interview | Former RBI Deputy Governor Gandhi sees no need for notes larger than Rs 500

BUSINESS

Interview | Former RBI Deputy Governor Gandhi sees no need for notes larger than Rs 500

According to Gandhi, who handled RBI's currency management department, the introduction of the Rs 2,000 note in 2016 was a 'short-term tactical decision' to quickly remonetise the economy post-demonetisation

Govt gets Rs 40,000 crore bonus from central bank despite RBI saving more for rainy day

BUSINESS

Govt gets Rs 40,000 crore bonus from central bank despite RBI saving more for rainy day

The RBI's dividend to the central government exceeded the 2023-24 budget estimate by 82 percent, likely on the back of huge foreign exchange gains

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