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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Will lower growth be the new normal?

BUSINESS

Will lower growth be the new normal?

The GDP numbers for the June 2020 quarter will be released on August 31. What should we look for? What are the long-term trends?

McKinsey Global Institute: Making the peacock dance

BUSINESS

McKinsey Global Institute: Making the peacock dance

The report is actually a warning -- unless India is able to considerably raise its growth rate, it risks massive unemployment

Bull market, but ‘far from excess bullish’

BUSINESS

Bull market, but ‘far from excess bullish’

The Bank of America survey of global fund managers finds net overweight on emerging markets almost back to pre-COVID levels

Why did consumer price inflation spike in July?

BUSINESS

Why did consumer price inflation spike in July?

India now has one of the highest inflation rates in the world

Now, Atmanirbhar China: Exports take a back seat

BUSINESS

Now, Atmanirbhar China: Exports take a back seat

There are many similarities between the Indian government’s stress on self-reliance and the Chinese Communist Party’s new strategy of ‘internal circulation’ for economic growth

IIP data show the depth of the downturn

BUSINESS

IIP data show the depth of the downturn

The Index of Industrial Production in June 2020 was lower than in June 2014

RBI survey finds people don’t expect to increase discretionary spending in the next one year

BUSINESS

RBI survey finds people don’t expect to increase discretionary spending in the next one year

Oscar Wilde: ‘We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars.’

Big industry had the lion’s share of the increase in loans outstanding in June

BUSINESS

Big industry had the lion’s share of the increase in loans outstanding in June

But how much of the increase is on account firms not repaying their dues on account of the moratorium?

The trouble with consumption

BUSINESS

The trouble with consumption

India has for long had just one engine of growth and even that is faltering

Third quarter starts on upbeat note for developed economies

BUSINESS

Third quarter starts on upbeat note for developed economies

A rebound was expected as lockdowns eased, but the question is how much of it is due to pent-up demand

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Stocks, infections and a brand new Cold War

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Stocks, infections and a brand new Cold War

Epidemic management and stock market performance are correlated, but much depends on other factors also

Other Alphabets Matter: A complete A-Z guide to the economic recovery

BUSINESS

Other Alphabets Matter: A complete A-Z guide to the economic recovery

Why are people talking only of a U- or a V-shaped recovery? This is rank discrimination—we need to start an ‘Other Alphabets Matter’ movement immediately

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Equity markets and infections surge hand in hand

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Equity markets and infections surge hand in hand

India’s long-term story received a big boost when Google decided to invest $10 billion in the country, including a major investment in Jio Platforms

Inflationary fires or deflationary ice?

BUSINESS

Inflationary fires or deflationary ice?

After the pandemic, the short run will probably see a deflationary bust. Will it be followed by rampant inflation?

Taxes, gold, fuel, supply disruptions keep inflation high in June

BUSINESS

Taxes, gold, fuel, supply disruptions keep inflation high in June

While the MPC members will probably cut interest rates again to support growth, the question is whether lowering interest rates further can do much to induce borrowers to borrow and lenders to lend

10-percent capitalism will not give India the inclusive growth it needs

BUSINESS

10-percent capitalism will not give India the inclusive growth it needs

The world as well as India need a new approach to economic growth

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Beware of simple narratives

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Beware of simple narratives

The stall in global stock rally suggests that investors have suddenly become wiser about the dangers lurking in the background

“Buy when there’s virus in the streets”

BUSINESS

“Buy when there’s virus in the streets”

Inspiring conversations with market participants to drive away the pandemic blues

The BIS says the recovery will be a U or a W, not a V

BUSINESS

The BIS says the recovery will be a U or a W, not a V

The conservative bankers’ bank says that the future economic landscape could look like the one that materialised after the Second World War

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Shrinking less rapidly

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Shrinking less rapidly

We are into Unlock 2.0. Should we then expect a rebound in private economic activity, at least a temporary one? It's some way off.

Indian corporates have one of the largest funding gaps, finds BIS study of 19 countries

BUSINESS

Indian corporates have one of the largest funding gaps, finds BIS study of 19 countries

If the government doesn’t plug the funding gap, it could lead to a wave of bankruptcies, affecting banks and NBFCs

Forget fiscal boost -- Government expenditure fell in May

BUSINESS

Forget fiscal boost -- Government expenditure fell in May

Revenue receipts of central government in April-May less than a third of the same period last year

India cannot afford more lockdowns

BUSINESS

India cannot afford more lockdowns

The half-hearted lockdowns of today are worse than useless

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Great Disconnect

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Great Disconnect

The markets ignored the IMF’s grim growth projections completely, with good reason

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