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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Is it time to worry about inflation in India? The Phillips curve has the answers

BUSINESS

Is it time to worry about inflation in India? The Phillips curve has the answers

A research paper by RBI Deputy Governor Michael Patra tells us how strong the Phillips curve is in India and its implications for inflation 

Is the Indian economy decoupling from the rest of the world?

BUSINESS

Is the Indian economy decoupling from the rest of the world?

The RBI’s state of the economy report says that while Indian growth is accelerating, global growth is slowing

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Bullwhip Effect 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Bullwhip Effect 

Incremental demand is resulting in larger fluctuations at the wholesale, manufacturing and raw materials supply levels

Who will pay the costs of mitigating climate change?

BUSINESS

Who will pay the costs of mitigating climate change?

The richest 10 percent of the global population emits nearly 48 percent of global emissions in 2019, the top 1 percent emits 17 percent of the total, whereas the poorest half of the global population emits 12 percent of global emissions

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The key to avoiding tantrums is growth

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The key to avoiding tantrums is growth

For the equity market, the end of quantitative easing will signal the end of the era of multiple expansion and stock prices will perhaps move more in line with earnings growth

India Composite PMI shows recovery gaining speed, but China sluggish on supply concerns

BUSINESS

India Composite PMI shows recovery gaining speed, but China sluggish on supply concerns

India Services PMI vaults to ten and a half year high, on re-opening of the sector coupled with festive demand

10 shows investors must watch in Samvat 2078

BUSINESS

10 shows investors must watch in Samvat 2078

As a new Samvat beckons with Diwali, we present these 10 dominant themes currently in play

India is on the cusp of an upswing in the business cycle

BUSINESS

India is on the cusp of an upswing in the business cycle

The IMF’s projection of 6 percent medium-term growth may be too pessimistic

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Finding true value 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Finding true value 

In the season of corporate earnings and IPOs, the flavour is valuation

The Green Pivot: US intelligence predicts dire consequences for India from climate change

BUSINESS

The Green Pivot: US intelligence predicts dire consequences for India from climate change

Climate change will lead to increased geopolitical tensions as countries scramble to control resources and dominate new technologies required for clean energy, says a US intelligence report 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The spectre of inflation 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The spectre of inflation 

Be it management commentary or flash PMI surveys, most are predicting runaway input prices. But some are choosing to break ranks

Will crypto-currencies be Kryptonite for central banks?

BUSINESS

Will crypto-currencies be Kryptonite for central banks?

An IMF report says the risks from the rapid adoption of crypto assets are fast rising and, rather than ban them, ways and means must be found to regulate them 

Why did Moody’s improve its credit rating outlook from negative to stable?

BUSINESS

Why did Moody’s improve its credit rating outlook from negative to stable?

The repair of bank balance sheets has removed a key overhang from the economy and has lowered the risks of negative feedback from the financial to the real economy 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Supply crunch

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Supply crunch

From Europe to Asia, supply issues threaten to derail the fledgling growth recovery story

Jobs in India rose in 2018-19 for the first time in seven years

BUSINESS

Jobs in India rose in 2018-19 for the first time in seven years

The KLEMS database shows the biggest job gains were in construction and trade, but employment in the manufacturing sector continued to shrink 

Jobs for the classes, not for the masses

BUSINESS

Jobs for the classes, not for the masses

Thirteen takeaways from the government’s new quarterly employment survey 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Keeping the faith

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Keeping the faith

Stock markets are looking at the silver lining in every dark cloud that comes their way. What explains their optimism?

China’s bang-bang control system

BUSINESS

China’s bang-bang control system

China’s volatile style of policymaking is deeply ingrained in its authoritarian system, where power is centralized in the top leadership who suffer from a chronic information deficit. This leads to a policy control mechanism that fluctuates between very lax and very harsh enforcement. 

China’s rocky road to the Evergrande crisis

BUSINESS

China’s rocky road to the Evergrande crisis

An NBER research paper has compared the Chinese housing bubble to the Japanese one of the late eighties 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Perfect storm over China

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Perfect storm over China

From the Evergrande debt crisis to a slowing growth rate to the crackdown on technology companies to the growing confrontation with the West, the cup of woes is spilling over for China

RBI’s state of the economy report: Turning point reached, prepare for escape velocity

BUSINESS

RBI’s state of the economy report: Turning point reached, prepare for escape velocity

Report cites comparatively tepid growth, contained inflation and low proportion of fully vaccinated population as factors calling for accommodative monetary policy 

RBI Dy Governor Patra’s speech has key clues on monetary policy

BUSINESS

RBI Dy Governor Patra’s speech has key clues on monetary policy

The central bank’s glide path envisages inflation at close to 4 per cent only by 2023-24 

If the recovery is strong, why not cut back stimulus?

BUSINESS

If the recovery is strong, why not cut back stimulus?

If the macroeconomic situation today is far better than after the global financial crisis, as government economists point out, recall that the repo rate at the time was 4.75 per cent, compared to today’s 4 per cent

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Buying slow and selling fast 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Buying slow and selling fast 

Does this strategy really work in a raging bull market, when the mantra appears to be buying furiously?

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