Moneycontrol PRO

Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Budget Chart of the Day: Fiscal Fragility

BUSINESS

Budget Chart of the Day: Fiscal Fragility

India’s fiscal position is much worse than most countries in the region

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Advance GDP data show a K-shaped recovery

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Advance GDP data show a K-shaped recovery

The biggest takeaway from the advance estimates is the weakness in private consumption. For the second half of FY22, the growth in private consumption is expected to be a mere 1.8%

Central government spending will be a tailwind for the economy in Q4 FY22

BUSINESS

Central government spending will be a tailwind for the economy in Q4 FY22

The concern, though, is that bond yields are rising, which is why the fiscal stance in the forthcoming Union Budget is likely to be conservative

What demand for work under MGNREGA tells us about consumption demand

BUSINESS

What demand for work under MGNREGA tells us about consumption demand

Demand for work under the scheme is still much higher than pre-pandemic levels, indicating a lack of job opportunities elsewhere

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | After last year’s binge, welcome to the hangover

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | After last year’s binge, welcome to the hangover

Instead of liquidity driving higher valuations, it's corporate earnings that will be in the driver’s seat

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | 2022 is here, but keep your fingers crossed!

TRENDS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | 2022 is here, but keep your fingers crossed!

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Top investment themes in 2022, the Weekly Tactical, myths in retirement planning, the Herd Immunity Tracker and more

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Fault lines are running deep for markets

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Fault lines are running deep for markets

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Mahanagar Gas catches the eye, crypto’s future, Startup Street, demystifying Crypto Charts, the battery overhang for EVs and more

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Through a glass, groggily

MARKETS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Through a glass, groggily

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: chief economist at IndusInd Bank offers his analysis for the year ahead, our independent research team picks up a defensive stock -- Bharat Dynamics -- and much more.

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | ’Tis the season to be wary 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | ’Tis the season to be wary 

It isn’t just Omicron that is responsible for the wild swings in the market

Monetary Policy Committee minutes show concerns over growth

BUSINESS

Monetary Policy Committee minutes show concerns over growth

A key takeaway from the MPC minutes: There is a divergence in global and Indian growth prospects, but there is a limit to decoupling 

Union Budget 2022: The difficult choices facing Nirmala Sitharaman 

BUSINESS

Union Budget 2022: The difficult choices facing Nirmala Sitharaman 

The Union Budget for 2022-23 is being framed against an international backdrop very different from that of the last decade or so. For the first time in many years, central banks in the developed economies are being forced to tighten monetary policy

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: ​Withdrawal symptoms

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: ​Withdrawal symptoms

2022 will tell us if central banks can pull off the miracle of a soft landing. Markets are understandably nervous.

Why different output gaps call for different monetary policy responses

BUSINESS

Why different output gaps call for different monetary policy responses

RBI’s state of the economy report for December 2021 has a chart indicating the extent of scarring of various economies from the pandemic

Will high wholesale inflation today lead to higher retail prices tomorrow?

BUSINESS

Will high wholesale inflation today lead to higher retail prices tomorrow?

An RBI study has found that the long-run relationship between wholesale and retail inflation prints has weakened 

November inflation print will not change RBI’s lower for longer stance

BUSINESS

November inflation print will not change RBI’s lower for longer stance

Growth, rather than inflation, is what the Indian central bank is worried about. It will take a substantial deviation from the central bank’s inflation projections for it to change its stance

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Bedtime story for the markets

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Bedtime story for the markets

Is the Buy Every Dip strategy on a borrowed time as central banks stock up ammo to pull back extra liquidity from the market?

RBI survey shows consumer confidence still very weak

BUSINESS

RBI survey shows consumer confidence still very weak

The Future Expectations Index (FEI) has improved from the September level, but it’s still lower than where it was during the period September 2020 to January 2021, when the first wave of the pandemic had ebbed and the second wave hadn’t started 

Crypto Conversations: Can DeFi become part of mainstream finance?

POLICY

Crypto Conversations: Can DeFi become part of mainstream finance?

Bank for International Settlements Quarterly Review says DeFi can play an important role in the financial system, provided it is suitably regulated 

Four Indias: findings from the World Inequality Report

BUSINESS

Four Indias: findings from the World Inequality Report

The World Inequality Report 2022 says the top 10 percent of Indians get much more than half the country’s income

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Transitory is history

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Transitory is history

As inflation remains persistently high, the Fed looks to double down on the taper despite the emergence of Omicron

What’s up with rural demand?

BUSINESS

What’s up with rural demand?

Inflation, according to the GVA deflator, shows that the terms of trade have moved against agriculture, contributing to a slowdown in rural consumption 

Jobs have come back, but what kind of jobs?

BUSINESS

Jobs have come back, but what kind of jobs?

The proportion of workers in informal jobs went up in urban India after the first wave of the pandemic, according to government data

Solid expansion in manufacturing in November, but why is business confidence falling?

BUSINESS

Solid expansion in manufacturing in November, but why is business confidence falling?

Manufacturing PMI signals India is seeing the strongest pace of expansion in Asia 

Centre has enough fiscal ammunition to spend freely in the rest of 2021-22 

BUSINESS

Centre has enough fiscal ammunition to spend freely in the rest of 2021-22 

The central government’s fiscal position is now much better than it was before the pandemic

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