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Joseph Thomas

Head Of Research

Emkay Wealth Management

Joseph Thomas is the Head of Research at Emkay Wealth Management.

Inflation vs growth: Monetary policy is at a crossroads

BUSINESS

Inflation vs growth: Monetary policy is at a crossroads

The pause may be prolonged for more time if inflation numbers from time to time fall within the RBI target range

Managing Portfolio: Gain from tactical allocation when markets consolidate

BUSINESS

Managing Portfolio: Gain from tactical allocation when markets consolidate

The tactical allocations have the time element as an important component of action because timely action will alone bring in optimum results 

Flight To Safety: Funds to flow into fixed income, debt funds

BUSINESS

Flight To Safety: Funds to flow into fixed income, debt funds

High levels of inflation in most economies have increased volatility in equity markets and lowered returns. It may remain so in the immediate term

Corporate earnings are under pressure. Expect more compression as growth slows

BUSINESS

Corporate earnings are under pressure. Expect more compression as growth slows

Earnings are sensitive to GDP growth, in differing proportions for different sectors. Growth is expected to be in the range of 6-6.5 percent, lower than the 7 percent growth estimated for FY23

Central banks are on the horns of a policy dilemma

BUSINESS

Central banks are on the horns of a policy dilemma

The persistence of inflation and the need to be expansionary to spur growth are trying to draw the cart in opposite directions

Oil at $88-90 a barrel in 2-3 months can't be ruled out given the ground realities

BUSINESS

Oil at $88-90 a barrel in 2-3 months can't be ruled out given the ground realities

The rise in oil prices will have major implications for domestic inflation and exchange rate as local currencies are likely to weaken.

'Emerging markets fairly valued; some correction likely but can't put blame entirely on Fed tapering'

BUSINESS

'Emerging markets fairly valued; some correction likely but can't put blame entirely on Fed tapering'

Powell said, "My view is that the substantial further progress test has been met for inflation," and that "There has also been clear progress toward maximum employment."

'RBI may take cues from US Fed, policy stance to remain accommodative'

BUSINESS

'RBI may take cues from US Fed, policy stance to remain accommodative'

Rising US inflation, accompanied by tapering of the bond buying program, may reduce the extra ordinary flows into the Emerging Markets while normal flows from long term investors like pension funds may still continue.

Economic growth expected to accelerate in US, China in expansionary phase too

BUSINESS

Economic growth expected to accelerate in US, China in expansionary phase too

China reported a GDP growth at 18.30 percent for Q1 of CY21. This is the highest rate of growth which China has witnessed since 1993.

Fiscal stimulus and vaccinations dominate global discussions

BUSINESS

Fiscal stimulus and vaccinations dominate global discussions

Here’s a review of the economic recovery and macroeconomic policies in the US, the UK and the Eurozone.

Here is why rising interest rates are considered the worst enemy of equity markets

BUSINESS

Here is why rising interest rates are considered the worst enemy of equity markets

Inflation leads to higher official interest rates, it affects the cost of funds, and therefore, the profitability of a large number of corporates.

What a rise in US bond yields mean for investors and Indian equities

MARKETS

What a rise in US bond yields mean for investors and Indian equities

The 10-year US treasury benchmark has moved up to 1.50 percent, and it is likely to rise further.

Q3 GDP: Need more to say that India is really growing instead of recovering somehow to feeble single digit levels

BUSINESS

Q3 GDP: Need more to say that India is really growing instead of recovering somehow to feeble single digit levels

The core sector represents 40 percent of the IIP and is quite a weak number when read along with the GDP numbers, as futuristic indicators of economic activity.

Budget 2021 a chance to open up, promote avenues to enhance domestic operations

BUSINESS

Budget 2021 a chance to open up, promote avenues to enhance domestic operations

There could also be some limited relaxation in the tax slabs like taking the exemption limit to Rs 5,00,000 from Rs 2,50,000.

Fixed income investments: Stay with short end of the curve and avoid long duration products

BUSINESS

Fixed income investments: Stay with short end of the curve and avoid long duration products

On a risk-adjusted basis, the returns from the shorter maturity funds is far superior.

Gold uptrend intact but may test support levels if these factors change

BUSINESS

Gold uptrend intact but may test support levels if these factors change

Gold ETFs have registered continuous growth in AUM since the beginning of the year.

Understand Perpetual Bonds thoroughly before taking the plunge

BUSINESS

Understand Perpetual Bonds thoroughly before taking the plunge

It is a clear understanding about Perpetual Bonds that the coupon will be paid only if the bank profits.

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