Sharing his thoughts on the downward trend in the market due to the escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions, Arvind Sanger feels that it would be unusual for the market to “bottom out so soon under present circumstances”
In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner, Geosphere Capital Management spoke about his reading of the market and his outlook.
In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner of Geosphere Capital Management shared his readings and outlook on how to approach the market.
He is positive on the local market. He said it is currently a part of a 'globally optimistic rally'.
However, there are two reasons why Indian markets could do well: the economy could bounce back from demonetisation-induced slowdown and the Budget and GST rollout may be positive triggers, says Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner, Geosphere Capital Management.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18 Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management said that demonetisation has been carried out in socialist economies like the North Korea and former Soviet Union in the past.
In conversation with CNBC-TV18, Arvind Sanger, Geosphere Capital Management, said government's decision to demonetise Rs 1,000 and Rs 500 notes is a retrograde move.
Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management says the big focus should be now on return on assets and getting rid of underperforming assets at the Tata Group. He was referring to the turmoil that is underway in the over 15-decade-old company after Cyrus Mistry was ousted as Tata Sons‘ Chairman.
IT sector will continue to face headwinds from the US Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. The sector is unlikely to throw up big surprises, said Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner, Geosphere Capital Management.
The political risks emerging from the EU will spill over to parts of developed markets, says Arvind Sanger founded Geosphere Capital Management.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Arvind Sanger, Founder & Managing Partner at Geosphere Capital Management says a bold budget is needed for a sustainable market rally.
Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management says the woes of the banking sector need to be dealt with comprehensively. According to him, the bankruptcy law is crucial for banks to recover
Arvind Sanger, managing partner at Geosphere Capital Management believes crude oil will be the best performing asset in 2016 and sees it moving up to at least USD 60 per barrel in the second half of calendar year 2016
Saurabh Mukherje, CEO of institutional equities at Ambit Capital, rues about the fact that corporate earnings have been alluding the market for almost six quarters now, while Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management says there are worries that the BJP government may turn populist to gain voter confidence
Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management believes that the measures from the Chinese central bank will lead to easing of the liquidity situation. But Viktor Shvets of Macquarie feels there will a contraction in liquidity from hereon.
Despite the positive macro cues (CPI and IIP), Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management believes it to be a bottom-up market. While this earnings season was better than the March quarter, it is still not up to the mark, he adds.
"I think in a way the recent market volatility good because it puts more of an onus on Indian policy makers, not to just count on foreign money showing up without questions asked, but foreign money showing up with expectations," says Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management.
In an interview to CNBC-TV18 Arvind Sanger, Managing Director, Geosphere says FM Arun Jaitley should do all that it can to revive India‘s growth.
According to Arvind Sanger, BJP should not make any populist noises now and it will be crucial to see how the government reacts to the AAP win in Delhi. Sanger is also expecting continued action by BJP in important ordinance issues.
Arvind Sanger, managing partner of Geosphere Capital Management prefers State Bank of India.
Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management is optimistic in the oil and gas sector. "This sector has a lot of hidden potential where the stocks not had a big move," he adds.
Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner, Geosphere Capital Management says the magnitude of victory for the BJP suggests receding fear of the emergence of a third front.
Quarterly earnings, RBI moves and economic policies are likely to determine Indian market‘s moves going ahead, says Arvind Sanger of Geosphere Capital Management.
Arvind Sanger, Geosphere Capital Management is of the opinion that the Fed will go slow on tapering because the US non-farm payroll was disappointing in terms of showing strong improvement in the labour market.
The only positive factor for the Indian economy has been the good monsoons. But even increased rural demand won‘t be sufficient to carry the entire economy and hence a 5 percent GDP growth looks rather optimistic