Unfortunately, however, the valuation expansion in India has taken the country back to looking less attractive, UBS said.
Although he adds that investors have beem closely following Narendra Modi after his decision to ban high denomination currency last year. So, any BJP win or loss by a huge margin is likely to affect market, he adds.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research, UBS Securities, said the markets expect changes to the corporate tax regime and have already digested it,
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research at UBS Securities says the main impact would be felt in March as demand destruction continues. He feels the impact will last till the fourth quarter of FY17. The near-term worry due to demonetisation can still be felt, he adds.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18 Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research at UBS Securities, said that the longer India story remains intact. Demonetisation doesn‘t impair the economic trajectory in the long term.
CNBC-TV18‘s Latha Venkatesh caught up with Gautam Chhaochharia, Geoffrey Dennis & Edward Teather of UBS from the sidelines of the UBS conference. They spoke on topics ranging from India‘s demonetisation drive to US presidency.
On speculation that RBI may pay a special dividend from the cash clean-up act, Gautam Chhaochharia of UBS Securities said that RBI should not be looked at as a company but as a policy-making body. Hence, it should not be presumed that the central bank will pay a special dividend.
According to Gautam Chhaochharia of UBS, H2FY17 growth recovery hopes will likely be dampened though as 7th Pay Commission and monsoon impact is over-estimated by street.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS Securities is of the view that one may look at agricultural space.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS Securities is overweight on non-banking financial companies.
The broader long-term India story is fairly robust and remains intact. So long-term investors need not worry, but shorter-term, the market is richly valued, said Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research, UBS Securities.
Central Pay Commission (CPC) may not aid an urban demand recovery in second half of FY17 as widely anticipated says a UBS Evidence Lab's report put together by Head of India Research Gautam Chhaochharia and Analyst Sanjena Dadawala.
While the markets continue to rally higher, UBS's Gautam Chhaochharia believes that risk reward is still not attractive here.
In an interview with CNBC-TV18 Chhaochharia discussed the impact of GST on various sectors and how it will affect the corporate earnings.
According to him, in the first couple of years of GST implementation, it may be quite disruptive and impact uncertain. The wide range of revenue-neutral-rate by various expert committees/institutions indicates the complexity and unpredictability, he says.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS is bullish on NBFC.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS is overweight on oil and gas space.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS is neutral on consumer staples and discretionary space.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS is overweight on pharma space.
"We have a buy rating on Maruti and Mahindra & Mahindra. Our preferred picks on the monsoon theme would be Coromandel International and Emami," Chhaochharia says.
Gautam Chhaochharia of UBS says LIC Housing Finance and HDFC Bank remain top picks and would be key beneficiaries from this policy action.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research, UBS Securities, says: "The consolidated fiscal deficit number is not looking good and the quality of spending will most definitely deteriorate as the bulk of spending will come from the states."
Moreover, investors looking at APAC/GEMs are largely unaware of any such policy shift or haven't realised the full impact as they are looking at the CPC narrowly from central government's fiscal perspective, said Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research, UBS, and author of the report.
Gautam Chhaochharia, UBS sees limited room for a re-rating and forecast an end-2016 Nifty target of 8,200 based on a 15x one-year forward PE multiple.
Ridham Desai, MD, Morgan Stanley India, says India continues to be the best house in a bad neighbourhood and that there is tremendous appetite to buy India.