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NII growth (up 6.8 percent) in Q2 was slowest in last 6 years that may continue in Q3 as well, feel analysts. They expect profit to be impacted by overall slowdown in growth and lower profit on sale of investments.
Analysts expected NII to grow 17 percent at Rs 2,197.2 crore for July-September quarter, but the Q2 NII stood at 6.2 percent year-on-year to Rs 2,076.2 crore.
Net interest income, the difference between interest earned and interest expended, may increase 17 percent to Rs 2,197.2 crore in quarter ended September 2015 compared to Rs 1,878.4 crore in same quarter last year.
The house has a buy rating on M&M Financial with price target of Rs 300 with a medium to long-term view, said Nischint Chawathe, Senior Analyst at Kotak Institutional Equities.
The sharp drop in HDFC‘s standalone profit growth to 1.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015-16 (ended June) is less a comment on the housing finance pioneer‘s lack of performance than an indicator of the sorry state of India‘s economy and its real estate sector.
Other income (non-interest income) is expected to fall over 50 percent year-on-year due to deferment of dividend from HDFC Bank to Q2. Other income in Q1FY15 grew by 40 percent Y-o-Y to Rs 482.2 crore.
Net-interest income is expected to fall by 14.9 percent quarter-on-quarter (up 14.8 percent year-on-year) to Rs 2003.5 crore, according to Emkay Global Financial Services.
Last year HDFC's spreads stood at 2.29 percent against 2.32 percent this year.
Vaibhav Agrawal of Angel Broking gave his views on HDFC's Q4 numbers.
Net interest income is expected to increase by 24 percent Q-o-Q (up 16.8 percent Y-o-Y) to Rs 2501.3 crore, according to Motilal Oswal.
Housing Development Finance Corporation's (HDFC) fourth quarter profit is expected to rise 7.2 percent year-on-year to Rs 1,846.4 crore and net interest income may increase 16.5 percent to Rs 2,495 crore, according to a CNBC-TV18 poll.
Nischint Chawathe of Kotak Institutional Equities expects the housing finance companies from the NBFC space to out perform others.
Abhishek Kothari, banking analyst, Quant Broking expects an earnings downgrade on Bank of Baroda.
Housing finance company HDFC reported third quarter numbers which were bang in-line with estimates. Net interest income was up 14.4 percent year-on-year and profits saw an uptick of 11.5 percent.
Housing finance company HDFC posted an 11.56 percent rise in third-quarter net profit at Rs 1,425.5 crore as against Rs 1,277.7 crore in the same quarter last year.
Housing finance company HDFC's third quarter profit is expected to increase 11.7 percent year-on-year to Rs 1,426.7 crore, according to the average of estimates of analysts polled by CNBC-TV18.
Net interest income may increase 16.3 percent to Rs 1,836 crore in the quarter ended September 2014 from Rs 1,579 crore in same quarter last year.
The non-banking finance company‘s net profit growth of 12 percent stood inline with estimates.
Net interest income of Housing Development Finance Corporation is expected to increase by 4.2 percent Q-o-Q (up 15 percent Y-o-Y) to Rs 1822.3 crore, according to Prabhudas Lilladher.
Net interest income of Housing Development Finance Corporation is expected to increase by 9.9 percent Q-o-Q (up 12.7 percent Y-o-Y) to Rs 1734.7 crore, according to Motilal Oswal.
Core parameters such as spreads are expected to bounce back sequentially to around 2.25 percent after declining 10 basis points in Q2 to 2.2 percent) due to easing on rates and hike in lending rates.
Net interest income of Housing Development Finance Corporation is expected to increase by 10 percent Q-o-Q (up 8.7 percent Y-o-Y) to Rs 1604.2 crore, according to ICICIdirect.com.
HDFC reported what was considered mostly an inline set of numbers in a challenging quarter for financial companies.
HDFC managed to post 19% loan book growth at Rs 1.84 lakh crore as on September 30 over the previous year.
The company is focused on prime borrowers on salaried customers, so it is far better placed even on the asset quality front, says Vaibhav Agrawal of Angel Broking.