Motilal Oswal's research report onS H Kelkar and Co.
Fragrance business, which contributed 87% of total revenues, reported de-growth of 8.6% YoY (on account of lower off take in the FMCG sector due to GST rollout), leading to a decline of 12% YoY in domestic revenues. 1QFY18 also witnessed a decline of 45% YoY in service income to INR88m. However, the industry is expected to witness recovery in consumer demand, the impact of which is expected to be seen from 3QFY18.
OutlookWe believe the company will revive from the transitional effect of GST and get back on the growth track. However, the impact of costcutting measures and recovery post GST will not be witnessed before 2HFY18. Hence, we cut our earnings estimates by 8%/4% for FY18/FY19, and expect SHK to post revenue and PAT CAGR of 12% and 17%, respectively, over FY17-19E. We maintain Buy with a target price of INR 298 (30x FY19E EPS).
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