Centrum's research report onJK Cement
During Q1FY19, JKCE reported strong 9% volume growth across both grey and white/putty segments. However, weak pricing in grey cement (in JKCE markets) alongwith hardening input cost inflation dragged down total EBITDA, even though white/putty profitability firmed up on strong demand. Thus, EBIDTA fell 24% YoY and high capital charges led to 38% PAT decline.
OutlookWe cut TP to Rs 1040 (10x its FY20 consolidated EBITDA) on lower earnings estimate and on expectations of front ending of capex in FY20. Key downside risks: lower-than-expected demand offtake, further spike in petcoke and diesel prices.
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