November 01, 2012 / 14:08 IST
Motilal Oswal has maintained neutral rating on Bank of India with a target of Rs 320 in its October 30, 2012 research report.
“Bank of India’s (BoI) 2QFY13 reported PAT declined 39% YoY to INR3.1b (57% below our estimate). Higher slippages (INR27.3b) led to an increase in credit cost (2.3% v/s 0.9% in 1QFY13) and impacted NII growth (8% below est), leading to underperformance. Profitability would have deteriorated further but the nil tax rate and 10% lowerthan- expected opex provided some cushion.”
“Gross slippages in 2QFY13 were INR27.3b (v/s ~INR17.5b in 1QFY13), of which 70% came from mid and large corporate segment. Net slippages increased ~1.9x QoQ to INR22.1b. In 2QFY13, BoI restructured loans worth INR8.1b (provided INR1b), of which INR2.6b was for existing NPAs. Global NIMs improved 15bp QoQ (v/s expectation of 25bp) to 2.4%. Domestic NIMs improved to 2.84% (+28bp QoQ), but the 23bp decline in international NIMs to 1.2% dragged overall NIMs lower.”
“BoI’s loans grew in the perceived riskier segments such as infrastructure (44% YoY) and gems & jewelry (27% YoY). We do not see any respite in asset quality given the current challenging macro-environment. Other concerns for the bank are (a) top management change in CY12 and (b) lower capitalization, with core Tier I at 7.7%. While valuations have corrected, we believe the higher stress on asset quality would keep it under check. We reduce our earnings estimate by 22% and 18% for FY13/14 to factor the higher credit cost and lower-than-expected margins performance. We expect BoI’s RoA to be ~0.6% for FY13/14 and RoE to be 12/14%. The bank is expected to report an EPS of INR42 in FY13 and INR53 in FY14; BV is expected to be INR361 in FY13 and INR405 in FY14. The stock trades at 0.8x FY13 BV and 0.7x FY14 BV. Maintain neutral,” says Motilal Oswal research report.
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