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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Manufacturing's share in economy in 2024-25 at same level as 18 years ago

BUSINESS

Manufacturing's share in economy in 2024-25 at same level as 18 years ago

The share of industry in GVA has come down from 33.04 percent back in 2009-10 to an estimated 30.58 percent in 2024-25. There does seem to be something in all the talk about premature deindustrialisation

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | GDP Growth: Strong, Weak, or Just a Data Revision Away?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | GDP Growth: Strong, Weak, or Just a Data Revision Away?

The question is: Why did GDP growth fall so sharply from 9.2 percent in FY 24 to 6.5 percent in the current fiscal year?

Economic momentum fades across major economies, but India shines in Flash PMI readings

BUSINESS

Economic momentum fades across major economies, but India shines in Flash PMI readings

Flash PMIs for February show that growth in India is gaining momentum, US activity is close to stalling, while the Eurozone and UK are barely keeping their heads above water

Buffett’s Dilemma: Too much cash, too few investment opportunities

BUSINESS

Buffett’s Dilemma: Too much cash, too few investment opportunities

Berkshire Hathaway’s holdings of short-term US Treasury bills more than doubled in 2024

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | What’s the nature of Trump’s game?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | What’s the nature of Trump’s game?

The problem lies in trying to predict what Trump will do, simply because his role model seems to be Alice in Wonderland, who famously said, 'I know who I was when I got up this morning, but I think I must have been changed several times since then

Amerika Uber Allies

POLITICS

Amerika Uber Allies

The Munich Security Conference brought home to Europe the realisation that US policy had changed from being a friend and ally to that of ‘a landlord seeking rent’

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | With Friends Like These, Who Needs Enemies?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | With Friends Like These, Who Needs Enemies?

The US is overstretched, militarily and financially, and it can no longer take care of both a European and a Pacific front

At Paris AI summit, it was US, UK versus the rest of the world

BUSINESS

At Paris AI summit, it was US, UK versus the rest of the world

The US not signing the agreement was hardly unexpected. Indeed, the surprise was that the US attended the conference at all, given its track record of walking out of global treaties and institutions

RBI Surveys show repo cut made to prop up growth, consumer demand despite rising household inflation expectations

BUSINESS

RBI Surveys show repo cut made to prop up growth, consumer demand despite rising household inflation expectations

At the press conference after the monetary policy announcement, a clearly worried RBI governor said that the pervasive uncertainty in global trade and economic policies is weighing weigh on consumption, investment and economic growth. That goes for markets too

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Monetary policy in the time of Trump

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Monetary policy in the time of Trump

The stark inequalities in consumption: What the numbers reveal

BUDGET

The stark inequalities in consumption: What the numbers reveal

The top 5 percent of the urban population spend Rs 3,064 per head per month on consumer durables while someone in the top 40-50 percent bracket spends just Rs 758 -- a fourfold difference, according to the Survey on Household Consumption Expenditure in India, 2023-24

Quick Take: January PMI shows slower growth, bolsters case for a rate cut on Friday

BUSINESS

Quick Take: January PMI shows slower growth, bolsters case for a rate cut on Friday

If the PMI and the corporate sector indicate a slowdown, then conditions in the rest of the economy must be even worse. Moreover, given the uncertainties in the external sector, there is all the more reason for monetary policy to give a boost to the domestic economy

The US trade deficit with India is higher than that with Canada

BUSINESS

The US trade deficit with India is higher than that with Canada

Apart from China, US trade deficits with the EU, Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, India and Taiwan are larger than with Canada. Will these countries be next in line for Trump tariffs?

Crunching the Numbers: Does Budget 2025 really boost consumption?

BUSINESS

Crunching the Numbers: Does Budget 2025 really boost consumption?

The share of GDP the government takes in taxes out of total income is expected to go up. That in turn means the share available for households for consumption or saving or investment is slightly lower than what it is in the current fiscal year 

Meets the Mark, But Misses the Magic: The Budget 2025 Big Picture

BUSINESS

Meets the Mark, But Misses the Magic: The Budget 2025 Big Picture

The Budget’s strategy is simple: maintain fiscal discipline, use tax cuts to boost consumption, and rely on incremental reforms to enhance competitiveness. It’s a cautious approach, but lacks ambition 

Economic Survey's plain truth: We need to go beyond 6.5% growth

BUSINESS

Economic Survey's plain truth: We need to go beyond 6.5% growth

With the Union Budget around the corner, the real question is this: how will the government prioritize these reforms? What are the immediate steps that can be taken to accelerate India’s journey towards 8% growth? 

What should Budget 2025 be like. Here's what DeepSeek told us

TECHNOLOGY

What should Budget 2025 be like. Here's what DeepSeek told us

Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present India's Budget 2025 on February 1

Budget 2025: How does India’s fiscal position compare to its Asian peers?

BUSINESS

Budget 2025: How does India’s fiscal position compare to its Asian peers?

Thanks to populist policies, India’s general government expenditure, as a proportion of GDP, is much higher than that of its Asian peers

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Trumponomics

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Trumponomics

With Trump's policies threatening to rock the world and with the Indian economy slowing down, we need an extraordinary budget to Make India Great Again

We need an extraordinary budget for extraordinary times

BUSINESS

We need an extraordinary budget for extraordinary times

The Budget must deliver a boost to consumption, must increase capex and at the same time provide incentives to the corporate sector to invest. The stimulus to consumption should be provided by tax cuts rather than through handouts

Bank of America survey finds India remains off investors’ radar

BUSINESS

Bank of America survey finds India remains off investors’ radar

The Asia fund manager survey found most participants seeing a further decline in the Indian equity markets

Trump 2.0: Great Disorder Under Heaven

BUSINESS

Trump 2.0: Great Disorder Under Heaven

Behind all the bombast, behind all the tough talk and aggressive posturing, is the imperative to preserve America’s hegemony and its economic dominance

RBI research reveals economic ripple effects of geopolitical shocks on India

BUSINESS

RBI research reveals economic ripple effects of geopolitical shocks on India

A one standard deviation shock to the global GPRI can lead to a trade volume decline of 1.0 percentage point and a capital flow cutback of 0.3 percentage points

Change in IMF forecasts reflects exceptional performance of US economy, dollar

BUSINESS

Change in IMF forecasts reflects exceptional performance of US economy, dollar

The forecast for India in 2025 has remained the same over the course of the past year

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