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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor, Moneycontrol

The Iran War and the return of strategic commodities

BUSINESS

The Iran War and the return of strategic commodities

The war with Iran is accelerating a global shift towards strategic stockpiling of oil, metals and minerals, turning commodities into instruments of national power

Uncle Sam’s Arsenal: Profiting from a world on edge

BUSINESS

Uncle Sam’s Arsenal: Profiting from a world on edge

SIPRI’s latest fact sheet on the global arms trade confirms that the United States is the undisputed kingpin of the global arms bazaar

State of Affairs: From managed disorder to systemic shock cascade

BUSINESS

State of Affairs: From managed disorder to systemic shock cascade

The Finance Ministry’s latest review warns that a dangerous global scenario once considered unlikely may now be unfolding

Key trends in sectoral shares and demand drivers in the new GDP series

ECONOMY-2

Key trends in sectoral shares and demand drivers in the new GDP series

MoSPI's new GDP series (base 2022-23) paints a picture of incremental structural transformation: rising industry (led by manufacturing), resilient services, falling agricultural share, and gradual shift from consumption to investment-led growth, albeit amid rising discrepancies

IMF Staff’s Verdict on US Economy: A sugar rush with a bitter aftertaste

BUSINESS

IMF Staff’s Verdict on US Economy: A sugar rush with a bitter aftertaste

Beneath the surface of robust 2026 GDP forecasts, the IMF has issued a stark warning: US policy is boosting the rich, punishing the poor, and eroding the nation’s fiscal credibility

Decoding Economics: Dallas Fed data reveal why AI is replacing young workers while turbocharging veterans

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: Dallas Fed data reveal why AI is replacing young workers while turbocharging veterans

A bombshell Dallas Fed report reveals AI is simultaneously creating a wage boom for experienced workers while slamming the door shut on the young

Why are markets buoyant despite uncertainty indices surging to record highs?

BUSINESS

Why are markets buoyant despite uncertainty indices surging to record highs?

Despite global and US uncertainty indices reaching unprecedented peaks in early 2026 amid trade-policy volatility, equity markets remain buoyant as investors bet heavily on continued supportive monetary easing from the Fed and pro-growth fiscal stimulus from the government to overpower near-term fog

Corporate earnings signal manufacturing surge ahead of Friday's GDP reboot

BUSINESS

Corporate earnings signal manufacturing surge ahead of Friday's GDP reboot

RBI data show double-digit Q3 sales growth by the private non-financial corporate sector, led by manufacturing's best showing in nearly three years, setting the stage for a potentially strong GDP print as the new series with the 2022-23 base debuts on February 27

TRUMP issues sweeping TYPOGRAPHY EXECUTIVE ORDER in response to Supreme Court ruling, VOWS America will 'Type its way to GREATNESS'

DONALD-TRUMP

TRUMP issues sweeping TYPOGRAPHY EXECUTIVE ORDER in response to Supreme Court ruling, VOWS America will 'Type its way to GREATNESS'

'Italics Are a Weak and Sloping Font. Everyone Knows This'

Data Story: The message from the Flash PMIs for investors

BUSINESS

Data Story: The message from the Flash PMIs for investors

Five major flash PMI releases this week paint a striking picture of a world that is growing faster outside the US than within it — with Europe recovering, Japan accelerating, India booming, and America cooling

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries continue to rise, but China and India are diversifying

BUSINESS

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries continue to rise, but China and India are diversifying

A $652 billion surge in foreign holdings of US Treasury securities in 2025 looks like a ringing endorsement of the dollar, but China and India have been selling

BIS says AI could widen the global divide. Can India's summit help close it?

BUSINESS

BIS says AI could widen the global divide. Can India's summit help close it?

While India is hosting its Global AI summit, the central bankers' central bank published a paper explaining why emerging economies have the most to lose from AI's rise--and what can be done to change that

Periodic Labour Force Survey: Men leave the farms, women shoulder the burden

BUSINESS

Periodic Labour Force Survey: Men leave the farms, women shoulder the burden

Services now employ more men than agriculture. But three in five women still work on farms—and over a third don't get paid

The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

BUSINESS

The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

The 16th Finance Commission charts a bolder path to 3.5% fiscal deficit and 47.6% debt-to-GDP by 2030-31 than the Union Budget 2026-27’s more measured steps, yet both signal a shared commitment to long-term fiscal discipline

The Daddy of all Deals: India-US trade breakthrough resets the entire playbook

BUSINESS

The Daddy of all Deals: India-US trade breakthrough resets the entire playbook

The sharp rollback of US tariffs on Indian exports is more than a trade reset—it lowers uncertainty, revives market sentiment and reshapes India’s economic and strategic positioning

Union Budget 2026: Boxes ticked, but where’s the spark?

BUSINESS

Union Budget 2026: Boxes ticked, but where’s the spark?

The finance minister offers a steady, investment-heavy Budget that sustains momentum, but stops short of the transformative reforms needed to secure India's place in a fractured global economy

The Economic Survey's delayed gratification delusion

BUSINESS

The Economic Survey's delayed gratification delusion

The Economic Survey 2025-26 blames India's development struggles on citizens' impatience and preference for shortcuts, but perhaps the real culprit is institutional failure that makes "delayed gratification" economically irrational

The Rupee Paradox -- India's macroeconomic triumph meets a persistent weakness: Economic Survey 2026

BUDGET

The Rupee Paradox -- India's macroeconomic triumph meets a persistent weakness: Economic Survey 2026

Beyond the headline GDP numbers, the Economic Survey sounds a cautionary note on the rupee. It ties together global fragility, capital flows, and the imperative for competitive manufacturing

IIP growth surges to 7.8%, giving Budget room to tackle debt, boost employment

BUSINESS

IIP growth surges to 7.8%, giving Budget room to tackle debt, boost employment

Amidst sustained industrial growth and robust high-frequency indicators, the Union Budget should shift focus to fiscal consolidation and targeted support for lagging employment sectors

Beyond the Headlines: IMF report reveals stark divergence between gloom narrative and steady growth

BUSINESS

Beyond the Headlines: IMF report reveals stark divergence between gloom narrative and steady growth

Despite geopolitical storms, tariff uncertainties, and other tensions, the IMF projects global growth to remain solid at 3.3% in 2026, powered by AI-driven investment and adaptive policies

The metamorphosis of Davos Man

BUSINESS

The metamorphosis of Davos Man

Davos Man has shed his cosmopolitan cloak, revealing the enduring pursuit of power and profit in a fragmented world where the strategies have changed, but the game remains the same

OPINION | How a Sunday Budget stiffens our collective spine

BUDGET

OPINION | How a Sunday Budget stiffens our collective spine

Nothing builds character quite like fiscal responsibility delivered on a Sunday

Substance over Form: Supreme Court redefines treaty benefits for foreign investors

BUSINESS

Substance over Form: Supreme Court redefines treaty benefits for foreign investors

A landmark Supreme Court judgment in the Tiger Global tax case has fundamentally reshaped the rules for foreign investment in India by enforcing the primacy of economic substance over legal form

The Union Budget must focus on national security

BUSINESS

The Union Budget must focus on national security

Amid persistent geopolitical challenges, the Union Budget must accelerate the nation's momentum in strategic autonomy to close the gaps and secure long-term economic and political resilience

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