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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Periodic Labour Force Survey: Men leave the farms, women shoulder the burden

BUSINESS

Periodic Labour Force Survey: Men leave the farms, women shoulder the burden

Services now employ more men than agriculture. But three in five women still work on farms—and over a third don't get paid

The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

BUSINESS

The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

The 16th Finance Commission charts a bolder path to 3.5% fiscal deficit and 47.6% debt-to-GDP by 2030-31 than the Union Budget 2026-27’s more measured steps, yet both signal a shared commitment to long-term fiscal discipline

The Daddy of all Deals: India-US trade breakthrough resets the entire playbook

BUSINESS

The Daddy of all Deals: India-US trade breakthrough resets the entire playbook

The sharp rollback of US tariffs on Indian exports is more than a trade reset—it lowers uncertainty, revives market sentiment and reshapes India’s economic and strategic positioning

Union Budget 2026: Boxes ticked, but where’s the spark?

BUSINESS

Union Budget 2026: Boxes ticked, but where’s the spark?

The finance minister offers a steady, investment-heavy Budget that sustains momentum, but stops short of the transformative reforms needed to secure India's place in a fractured global economy

The Economic Survey's delayed gratification delusion

BUSINESS

The Economic Survey's delayed gratification delusion

The Economic Survey 2025-26 blames India's development struggles on citizens' impatience and preference for shortcuts, but perhaps the real culprit is institutional failure that makes "delayed gratification" economically irrational

The Rupee Paradox -- India's macroeconomic triumph meets a persistent weakness: Economic Survey 2026

BUDGET

The Rupee Paradox -- India's macroeconomic triumph meets a persistent weakness: Economic Survey 2026

Beyond the headline GDP numbers, the Economic Survey sounds a cautionary note on the rupee. It ties together global fragility, capital flows, and the imperative for competitive manufacturing

IIP growth surges to 7.8%, giving Budget room to tackle debt, boost employment

BUSINESS

IIP growth surges to 7.8%, giving Budget room to tackle debt, boost employment

Amidst sustained industrial growth and robust high-frequency indicators, the Union Budget should shift focus to fiscal consolidation and targeted support for lagging employment sectors

Beyond the Headlines: IMF report reveals stark divergence between gloom narrative and steady growth

BUSINESS

Beyond the Headlines: IMF report reveals stark divergence between gloom narrative and steady growth

Despite geopolitical storms, tariff uncertainties, and other tensions, the IMF projects global growth to remain solid at 3.3% in 2026, powered by AI-driven investment and adaptive policies

The metamorphosis of Davos Man

BUSINESS

The metamorphosis of Davos Man

Davos Man has shed his cosmopolitan cloak, revealing the enduring pursuit of power and profit in a fragmented world where the strategies have changed, but the game remains the same

OPINION | How a Sunday Budget stiffens our collective spine

BUDGET

OPINION | How a Sunday Budget stiffens our collective spine

Nothing builds character quite like fiscal responsibility delivered on a Sunday

Substance over Form: Supreme Court redefines treaty benefits for foreign investors

BUSINESS

Substance over Form: Supreme Court redefines treaty benefits for foreign investors

A landmark Supreme Court judgment in the Tiger Global tax case has fundamentally reshaped the rules for foreign investment in India by enforcing the primacy of economic substance over legal form

The Union Budget must focus on national security

BUSINESS

The Union Budget must focus on national security

Amid persistent geopolitical challenges, the Union Budget must accelerate the nation's momentum in strategic autonomy to close the gaps and secure long-term economic and political resilience

Data Story | December data show rural jobs hold firm as urban labour market cools

BUSINESS

Data Story | December data show rural jobs hold firm as urban labour market cools

Latest jobs numbers reveal a divergence, with stable rural employment contrasting against rising urban joblessness, even as both show improvement in the medium term

India’s New Investment Framework: Growth without crisis

BUSINESS

India’s New Investment Framework: Growth without crisis

India's current investment rate, while lower than its 2011-13 peak, represents a structural change—an upgrade from the fragility of a credit-fuelled, import-heavy boom to a more sustainable, model of growth

Budget Snapshot | The Indian State vs The ASEAN model: A fiscal disconnect

BUSINESS

Budget Snapshot | The Indian State vs The ASEAN model: A fiscal disconnect

IMF projections reveal India’s government spends and borrows at a scale closer to the U.S. and China than to its regional peers, creating a unique growth-versus-sustainability dilemma for policymakers

A resilient 7.4 percent GDP growth masks a stark divide

BUSINESS

A resilient 7.4 percent GDP growth masks a stark divide

While India's economy is projected to grow at 7.4 percent in 2025-26, the expansion remains narrowly driven by a couple of services sectors, leaving the vast majority of workers in agriculture and mass-employment sectors behind

The RBI's tale of two equity markets

BUSINESS

The RBI's tale of two equity markets

Beyond the headlines, the RBI's Financial Stability Report issues a dual alert: caution against global AI euphoria and a red flag on India's sentiment-driven small-cap rally

The PMI's warning for the Budget: Animal spirits are fading

BUSINESS

The PMI's warning for the Budget: Animal spirits are fading

As private sector optimism hits a multi-year low, the clearest call from the latest PMI data is for the Union Budget to make a decisive move to restore business confidence and rekindle investment appetite

Venezuela and the new American doctrine: A regional strike reveals a global strategy

POLITICS

Venezuela and the new American doctrine: A regional strike reveals a global strategy

The US action in Venezuela was the opening salvo of a stark new global strategy—one that treats alliances as transactions and sovereignty as conditional

Tax revenue squeeze forces Centre to slam brakes on spending

BUSINESS

Tax revenue squeeze forces Centre to slam brakes on spending

GST cuts meant to stimulate the economy have backfired on the fiscal front, with central tax collections rising just 3.3% and forcing the government into spending cuts which could stall the growth momentum

IIP's November Surge: A false dawn or the start of a 2026 turnaround?

BUSINESS

IIP's November Surge: A false dawn or the start of a 2026 turnaround?

While industrial output hits a two-year high, underlying volatility in key sectors and a long-awaited index rebasing will define the true trajectory of India's factory activity in 2026

The Two Indias: How soaring inequality is shaping markets, economy

BUSINESS

The Two Indias: How soaring inequality is shaping markets, economy

New data reveal a decade of intense income and wealth concentration in India, creating a dual economy that is redefining winners and losers across consumer and asset markets

The Currency Battleground: How undervalued yuan powers China's surplus while India's rupee tells a different story

MARKETS

The Currency Battleground: How undervalued yuan powers China's surplus while India's rupee tells a different story

Beyond the political noise, BIS exchange rate data exposes the true scale of competitive devaluations, showing why China's surplus is a policy outcome while India's deficit reveals a growth story

A hawkish ease? The Fed’s 2026 clues could shift capital from AI to emerging markets

BUSINESS

A hawkish ease? The Fed’s 2026 clues could shift capital from AI to emerging markets

While markets have already priced in a rate cut, the true significance of this FOMC meeting lies in the signals it sends about the longevity of the easing cycle and its implications for a richly valued AI-led rally and global capital flows

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