HPCL will get Rs 1,980 crore, BPCL Rs 1,900 crore and IOCL Rs 3,620 core as LPG compensation in Q4, say analysts
The Finance Ministry is finalizing the contours of the deal, and a Cabinet approval for the compensation could be sought soon, it is learnt.
Some part of the benefit that upstream companies like ONGC saw because of rupee depreciation will be taken away by the government in the form of higher subsidies, says Amit Rustagi of Antique Stock Broking. So instead of Rs 60,000 crore last year, ONGC may be bearing Rs 70,000 crore under recovery this year.
Global crude price in FY14 started to soften and the government introduced a monthly price hike of 50 paise per litre on diesel. The combined effect was a projection of only Rs 80,000 crore as under-recovery for FY14 – a straight cut of 50% from last year. But with rupee fall now, under-recovery projection is now back to Rs 1.6 lakh crore.
Hit by a double whammy of rising crude prices and depreciating rupee, PK Goyal, director-finance, IOC, says the oil marketing company will face an under recovery of Rs 12800 cr for per unit rise in crude pirce and per unit fall in rupee level.
Consumption of Petrol in the country has grown at 4.5 percent in current year as compared to 8-9 percent growth due to rising price of the fuel, says PK Goyal, Director Finance, IOC
PK Goyal, Director Finance, IOC believes if the the under-recovery trend for diesel continues then for FY14 it will be sees at Rs 59,000 crore.
There may be some upside to the company's margins with the gas price hike implementation, said Aloke Kumar Banerjee of ONGC. He added that the impact would also be felt on the overall investment scenario in the oil and gas sector.
Based on 57/USD as the exchange rate, the under recovery on diesel stands at Rs 6.30, he added.
BPCL Chairman and Managing Director RK Singh sees petrol prices to go up from June 1 due to depreciation in rupee.