While UBS Securities does believe that Trump's tariffs could pose a short-term shock in early April, it still anticipates ongoing bilateral talks to help mitigate their impact.
UBS is among the first brokerages that assigned a price target of over Rs 300 for Zomato, backed by the company's strong Q1 earnings show and scope for margin expansion.
Paytm's continued monetisation, improved profitability dynamics and discounted valuations as compared to global and Indian peers makes UBS bullish over the online payments aggregator.
According to Swiss brokerage UBS Securities, increasing default risks in retail unsecured loans of banks is likely to push up their credit losses by 50-200 bps.
According to Tanvee Gupta-Jain, the chief economist at UBS Securities India, if the country continues to benefit from the ongoing China+1 supply chain shifts and the ongoing structural reforms, GDP can rise to 6.25-6.75 per cent annually or adding 50 bps till 2030 under an optimistic scenario.
Tirumalai also expects emerging markets to see 18-19 percent growth in 2024 and for India, somewhere in the range of 14-15 percent.
UBS Securities expects a growing contribution from highly scalable new segments and products coupled with active capital expenditure to support ABB India’s growth and operating margin.
Tanvee Gupta Jain expects the RBI to hold policy rates steady and possibly even cut by 50 basis points in the second half of FY24 due to recent global financial market volatility and banking turmoil
The rupee is likely to strengthen towards 79 by end-FY24 from an average of 82 to the US dollar in FY23, Tanvee Gupta Jain, the chief India economist at UBS Securities said in a note.
"We are constructive on the banking sector. It will only become stronger with loan growth coming back in the system. According to the last report, the data point is around 16 per cent year on year. The first half is generally weak and used to see zero growth but we've already seen six per cent growth that gives us a strong base for NII (net interest income) growth."
The brokerage also sees the economy clipping at 7.7 per cent in FY23 but moderating to 6 per cent in FY24, as it expects the benefit of the low-interest rate regime to end by the end of FY23, and it sees the central bank hiking policy rates by 50 bps in the second half of the next fiscal.
With sector capacity utilisation low in the private manufacturing sector, capital expenditure plans are on hold
With only a week to go for the results, the note also discussed possible scenarios and how the market will react to it.
To discuss the events that impacted the market in the week gone by and the outlook going forward. CNBC-TV18 spoke to Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research, UBS Securities and Ashwani Gujral ashwanigujral.com.
UBS has released their 2018 market strategy report and to discuss this CNBC-TV18 spoke to Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research, UBS Securities
UBS Securities believes the currency will hover around 65 levels, but sticks to its year-end forecast of 70/USD, implying a weakness.
The RInfra InvIT Fund, with a proposed issue size of Rs 3,000 crore with an option to retain over-subscription of up to 25 per cent, will own 10 toll road assets, with an option to acquire further assets in future.
Although he adds that investors have beem closely following Narendra Modi after his decision to ban high denomination currency last year. So, any BJP win or loss by a huge margin is likely to affect market, he adds.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research, UBS Securities, said the markets expect changes to the corporate tax regime and have already digested it,
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research at UBS Securities says the main impact would be felt in March as demand destruction continues. He feels the impact will last till the fourth quarter of FY17. The near-term worry due to demonetisation can still be felt, he adds.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18 Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of India Research at UBS Securities, said that the longer India story remains intact. Demonetisation doesn‘t impair the economic trajectory in the long term.
On speculation that RBI may pay a special dividend from the cash clean-up act, Gautam Chhaochharia of UBS Securities said that RBI should not be looked at as a company but as a policy-making body. Hence, it should not be presumed that the central bank will pay a special dividend.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS Securities is of the view that one may look at agricultural space.
Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research at UBS Securities is overweight on non-banking financial companies.
The broader long-term India story is fairly robust and remains intact. So long-term investors need not worry, but shorter-term, the market is richly valued, said Gautam Chhaochharia, Head-India Research, UBS Securities.