A 25 bps cut will help the economy, but don’t expect instant relief on your EMIs. Monetary policy works in slow motion.
With inflation at historic lows, the RBI finally opens the tap. The 25 bps cut signals support for growth, but the central bank isn’t throwing caution to the winds.
India's GDP growth of 8.2% masks underlying economic challenges, with nominal growth lagging, the RBI caught between rate cuts and rupee defence, and markets pricing in a potential earnings turnaround despite policy uncertainties
Inflation has eased but remains a tricky pitch for the MPC, when it comes to deciding the course of interest rates
All signs point to a rate cut later this week
Food prices are in deflation, gold is soaring, and core inflation ex-gold is benign . RBI can’t hide behind averages anymore.
Decoding the RBI's October review: Rate cuts remain distant, EMIs stay where they are
MPC’s decision to maintain status quo on rates was expected. Its message on policy consistency and economic resilience was reassuring. The highlight, however, was the regulatory package to ease credit flow and smoothen banks’ transition to an enhanced risk standard
Based on the current inflation outlook, the space for further easing is limited to 25-50 bps over the second half of this fiscal year
Sluggish bank lending and tight liquidity signal the need for a growth-friendly pivot
RBI’s bold rate cut and CRR slash fuel bank liquidity but pinch margins, leaving investors to navigate a tricky terrain
RBI’s 50 bps rate cut and CRR slash signal robust growth support, but a neutral stance hints at caution ahead.
While lower food inflation often creates room for rate cuts, the correlation is not absolute
The latest economic indicators paint a picture of cautious optimism, but challenges loom
Which way interest rates head subsequent to the MPC meet will have an impact on the cost of money, which affects investors, apart from savers and depositors
Retail inflation in April is expected to have fallen to a six-year low of 3.27 in April, which will give the RBI the space to push for growth amid challenging domestic and international situations
Easier monetary policy along with durable liquidity infusion will help ease financial conditions and enhance supply of credit in the economy
India’s private sector continues to show strong growth momentum, according to the Flash PMI for March. But while domestic demand is robust, the Monetary Policy Committee must take into account the impact of Trump’s reciprocal tariffs
The sharp fall in inflation, particularly food inflation dropping to 6% from over 8% in previous months, provides the RBI with much-needed policy space.
A 50 bps CRR cut, and rates on hold is a safe play for the MPC, caught in a growth-inflation conundrum, at this point.
RBI has been struggling to find the right balance in terms of rate actions. Data suggests growth has taken a hit whenever RBI held rates high for too long
The RBI now has a ‘growth’ problem rather than an ‘inflation problem’. It cannot ignore the growth slowdown. At the same time, the MPC needs to time the rate cut carefully
The MPC is scheduled to meet on October 7-9 to decide the interest rates
The MPC meet scheduled for October 7-9 will mostly likely set the ground for a rate cut two months later. The MPC is set to reverse its rate stance unless big surprises happen in the meantime
Although India continued to grow at the fastest rate among its peer economies, there are certain pockets of deep worry. One of the foremost is the issue of rising unemployment