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    • Indian economy has made it to the launchpad. It still needs a spark

      India’s macroeconomic stability is impressive compared to many of its peers. Pandemic spending wasn’t excessive. The fiscal deficit has been steadily shrinking as a proportion of GDP. The rupee has been remarkably stable. And “core” inflation, which excludes food and fuel prices, has eased to 3.3% year-on-year. But it is still government actions that are pushing growth up or down, rather than the choices made by India’s private sector

    • Finance Secretary should re-examine his theory that housing loan not a saving: P Chidambaram

      The payment of interest and the instalments of the loan is indeed an expenditure, but it is an expenditure which is converted into an asset, which is a saving, the former finance minister argued.

    • RBI may end rate hikes by year-end, inflation may ease to 5% next year: CRISIL’s Dharmakirti Joshi

      The RBI may go for a 25 basis points rate hike in September and possibly another one before the end of this year.

    • Year-ender 2020 | All debt is not the same

      As the Budget announcement for 2021-22 draws closer, fear-filled discussions in the Indian media over deficits and debt numbers will be heard

    • Modern money theory and lessons from Japan

      A critique of mainstream macroeconomics through the Japanese case should not be taken to imply that MMT advocates the same policy prescription for all situations; such naïve logic is a common weapon that macroeconomists often use against MMT

    • Policymakers need to pay attention to profits of businesses, not just sales

      Perhaps the only way to increase business profits at this juncture is to reduce government savings i.e. the government should run a deficit which is greater than the savings of the non-business sector.

    • From economic forecasting to economic nowcasting

      Making long-term economic forecasts will not cease, but could nowcasting real time macroeconomic aggregates be the new norm?

    • Debt downgrades touch 3-year high, reflects economic slowdown: Report   

      This despite improvement in asset quality, with a decline in the number of non-performing assets

    • Room for RBI rate cut; will meet FY16 growth target: CEA

      While brokerages such as Ambit and Macquarie have reduced their gross domestic product (GDP) estimates, chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian says it is too early to start revising GDP growth numbers downwards.

    • Benefits from oil, govt steps to come with lag: TVF Cap

      In the last nine months, the government has taken many right steps to improve the economy, says Shiv Puri, founder and MD of TVF Capital Advisors. It now needs to focus especially on the infrastructure sector in the Budget, he adds.

    • Liquidity comfortable; demand for bonds robust: HSBC

      The 10-year bond yield at 7.85 percent factors in the positives, says Manish Wadhawan, MD & HD-Interest Rates, HSBC.

    • Inflation not a concern; see GDP downgrades: Sabharwal

      With a tell-tale sign of a decline in rural consumption, companies like HUL and Dabur will face a bumpy ride ahead, says Sandip Sabharwal who offers Investment Advisory through asksandipsabharwal.com.

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