India’s manufacturers could gain meaningful market share, especially as the US imposes much higher tariffs on other Asian economies, Ved said.
"If India were to restore US oil’s share to 9 percent, that alone could add $7.6 billion in imports, assuming a price of $70 per barrel," Ved estimated. "That’s enough to reduce a quarter of the trade surplus."
After a stellar rally that 2023 saw the question now on investors mind is, if more correction is in the store. When will Nifty hit 25,000? After witnessing a volatile January, how will Indian equity market behave ahead of the Lok Sabha elections? Which themes, sectors and stocks should you be watching out for? To answer all these questions and to make sense of the market movements; catch Moneycontrol's N Mahalakshmi in conversation with Hiren Ved of Alchemy Capital.
AI will force tech companies to spend on tech and cut down hiring of software engineers, according to Ved.
If this happens, the Sensex will deliver 43 percent returns in about two years, compounding at about 20 percent a year from current levels
Hiren Ved shared his insights on various topics, including his preferences within the small-cap and mid-cap space, his sectoral bets, and the challenges associated with new-age companies.
"We have got the best earnings story in the last two years. Consensus is too bearish on earnings," the Alchemy Capital co-founder says
The differentiation about India and most other global economies is that India is a natural growth market, it is not necessary to stimulate the economy to drive growth, which is the case with many other large economies today
Hiren Ved shared his views on CNBC-TV18 about market trends, high growth areas, and insurance stocks
Creating the right balance between risk and opportunity is so very crucial to succeed and survive in the capital markets and make money from it, says Hiren Ved, Director & Chief Investment Officer at Alchemy Capital.
The best way to invest is to drip feed – invest small amounts over a period of time. Timing the market is a dangerous strategy that could backfire.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Vikas Khemani, President and Chief Executive Officer at Edelweiss Securities, said that fiscal deficit would be the number to watch.
Hiren Ved, Director & CIO, Alchemy Capital Management says demonetisation has pushed the growth recovery by a couple of quarters and it is likely to pick up only in second half of CY17.
Asserting that over a period of time investors look for scale, sustainability and maturity in companies, Hiren Ved of Alchemy Capital said that great companies going through difficult times can be the best bets.
A two-speed Indian market has seen slow-growth or leveraged companies tied to the global cycle witness cheap valuations while high-growth, domestic-focused firms have performed very well.
Hiren Ved is bullish on select infra plays and says a bank recapitalisation number of over Rs 25,000 crore will be viewed positively by the market
During times of such volatility, Hiren Ved of Alchemy Capital Management says everything works on a day to day basis. "A little bit of better results, global markets are okay, then that adds to confidence because at this point in time there is too much fear on the streets," he says
A lot of the correction in the Indian market was because of external factors than domestic ones. Hiren Ved of Alchemy Capital Management says India will continue to remain vulnerable to such corrections unless substantial growth is seen.
Companies related to railways, renewables and infrastructure are also likely to benefit going ahead, said Hiren Ved.
Experts see lower oil and commodity prices along with a potential slide in interest rates as key drivers of growth and even a revival in corporate earnings in the next quarter. Their outlook for IT stocks is not very upbeat owing, in short to medium term horizon, due to global factors and currency volatility among other factors
Hiren Ved believes companies with good-shaped balance sheets will provide better returns in 2015.
Hiren Ved, Director & CIO, Alchemy Capital Management expects the interim Budget on Monday to be a non-event for the market. He says finance minister P Chidambaram might choose to cut plan/ non-plan expenditure to curb fiscal deficit. He believes the market already discounted Vote on Account.
Hiren Ved, Director & CIO, Alchemy Capital Management says he doesn‘t look at pharmaceutical as defensive or non defensive. He says the sector is doing extremely well and growth will continue irrespective. It is not as if the new government comes and the pharma sector will have no scope for growth and appreciation
Hiren Ved, Director & CIO at Alchemy Capital is of the view that ITC is looking expensive. "The stock will give a steady 10-15 percent return but there is not much scope for a P/E rerating in a stock," he adds.
The Nifty and Sensex touched their life-time highs on Friday, buoyed by improvement in the macro data and better-than-expected second quarter earnings, says Hiren Ved, Director & CIO, Alchemy Capital. He believes it is the right time for long-term investors to enter the equity market.