Gdp Growth

Barclays said in a note that after a neutral pause in August, it sees the RBI MPC cutting policy repo rate by 25 bps on October 1, acknowledging that it is a close call versus a scenario of a dovish pause followed by a December cut.

Would it benefit the economy if RBI surprises market with a rate cut in October policy?

The MPC meeting which has started on September 29, will deliver its decision on the rate action on October 1.

Best for RBI to save the bullet on rate action, says ANZ Research's Dhiraj Nim

The MPC, which has cut rates by 100 bps this year, is expected to hold the rates on October 1, a Moneycontrol poll of economist, fund managers and treasury heads has said

S&P holds India’s FY26 growth at 6.5%, says domestic demand to cushion US tariff impact

Inflation seen at 3.2% this year, giving RBI room for one more rate cut

GST reform to stimulate consumption but may reduce government's revenue: Moody's

The note said that the Centre may slow down some of the government spending over the next two quarters, which may preserve the trend of fiscal consolidation. Aside of that, the GST reform may also impact the government's efforts to reduce debt.

Jobless Growth: Decline in employment in India’s small enterprises despite Q1 GDP surge

India’s strong 7.8 percent GDP growth in April-June 2025 masks a worrying decline in jobs within unincorporated non-agricultural enterprises, raising questions about the inclusiveness of economic progress

Can India's economy touch 6.5% mark in FY26? | Beyond Averages

Indian economy beat expectations in the first quarter growing at a stellar 7.8 percent even as the global economy was hurt by uncertainty. Can the country continue its growth momentum in coming quarters and can India best the 6.5% growth it achieved last year. More important, what does this mean for RBI policy in the coming months?

India’s surprise GDP flattered by data calculation, say analysts

Data last week showed the economy expanded 7.8% in the April-June quarter — the most in over a year and way above the 6.7% median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists

RBI may cut FY26 growth forecast as tariff impact deepens, say economists

On the trade front, economist estimates that exports could decline by $30 billion-35 billion over the year due to the tariff shock. Even after factoring in cheaper Russian oil, the net export loss would be $25 billion-30 billion, translating to a GDP drag of 60-80 bps annually.

India GDP Q1 FY26: What to watch for in the Friday numbers

India's Q1 FY26 GDP data, releasing Friday, will test whether the economy can sustain growth above RBI's 6.5 percent forecast despite mixed industrial signals and evolving consumption patterns

GST 2.0 could cushion Trump tariff blow, say economists

Of the 15 economists surveyed last week, nearly 67 percent said GST cuts would help offset at least part of the impact of higher duties imposed by Washington

India’s growth likely moderated to 6.6% in Q1FY26: Moneycontrol Poll

Despite the industrial drag, economists say public spending, services, and rural demand supported growth

GST reforms may cool inflation but RBI unlikely to rush into rate cuts, says MPC member Saugata Bhattacharya

The RBI central bank will take a data-driven approach, will assess the full spectrum of primary, secondary, and tertiary effects of the tax overhaul before altering the policy stance, Bhattacharya has said

GST reform push strengthens case for October rate cut, say experts

GST 2.0, which will likely see rates lowered on most goods and services, will cool inflation further, giving the RBI the room to ease monetary policy, they say

RBI holds rates steady, signals confidence in growth and inflation management

The overwhelming uncertainty emerging from the external environment, especially since the last few weeks, due to intense tariff announcements and trade negotiations is not only posing risks to global financial markets but also challenges to economies like India in terms of the growth outlook.

RBI holds rates: A well priced-in ‘pause’, a less priced-in ‘neutrality’

With trade negotiations still underway, assessing any growth-inflation impact right away is quite difficult. The RBI MPC had revised down its GDP growth estimate in February by 20 bps to 6.5 percent on-year, partly reflecting tariff-related risks, but uncertainty has accelerated since then.

Will Trump's tariff threats impact India's growth and inflation outlook? Here's what RBI thinks

The RBI governor hoped that India and the US will reach an “amicable solution” for both nations' trade concerns

Will RBI hold repo rate? 5 things to look out for in August MPC

The MPC is meeting at a time when retail inflation has remained lower than RBI’s medium term target of 4 percent and support is needed for growth revival amid tariff tensions.

MPC meeting: Final cut or start of an extended pause?

The MPC will likely moderate its baseline forecast for GDP below the extant 6.5 percent, further supporting the case for a rate cut

Ongoing trade talks with US may see RBI hold rates on August 6, say economists

A Moneycontrol poll, too, found that the RBI’s monetary policy committee is expected to maintain status quo

MPC Poll | RBI may hold rates in August policy to assess new data on inflation

The central bank, so far has reduced the repo or the benchmark rate by 100 basis points (Bps) since February to aid growth, with 25 bps each in February and April respectively, and 50 bps in the June policy.

Geopolitical headwinds, elevated uncertainty pose downward risks to growth: RBI's Financial Stability Report

The report said that it is estimated that a 100 basis points (bps) slowdown in global growth can, ceteris paribus, pull down India’s growth by 30 bps.

Front loading repo and CRR cut to support growth and infuse liquidity

With the rates expected to remain static till December 2025, we expect limited capital appreciation going ahead and shift our focus on accrual-based strategy.

RBI MPC cuts repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.5%, changes stance to neutral

The mega repo rate cut comes as retail inflation has softened significantly below the RBI's medium term target of 4%.

RBI MPC meeting updates: CRR cut to aid transmission, improve credit growth; IndusInd bank issue should settle down very soon, says Malhotra

RBI Repo Rate News: The RBI MPC reduced the inflation projection for FY26 to 3.7 percent to 4 percent earlier. The GDP growth projection remained unchanged for FY26 at 6.5 percent.