Can the Centre breach the fiscal deficit target? Yes, but with riders
According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofA-ML), the N K Singh Committee would build cyclicality in setting fiscal deficit projections by switching to a target range (3-3.5 percent) from a point target of 3 percent.
Finance minister could announce a new framework suggesting a fiscal deficit range from 2018-19 setting the stage for replacing the FRBM Act with a new law, giving the govt more flexibility on borrowing & spending; govt awaiting recommendations of NK Singh-panel that is expected to submit report today.
The FRBM (Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management) panel is due to submit its report to the Finance Ministry on January 23. This report has recommendations for a new FRBM act.
Sources say the report will be out before the Budget and will be shared directly with the government and not be made public.
"By just depositing it (unaccounted money), you don't avoid the responsibility of paying tax," he said when asked about surge in deposits in banks following withdrawal of high denomination currency notes.
Sources say that the panel is looking at nominal GDP, inflation, interest rate impact post demonetisation.
Comments and suggestions have been sought from stakeholders and general public on the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act till June 30, the Finance Ministry said today.
Jahangir Aziz of JPMorgan said that it is too premature for the markets to take cues from the frenzy surrounding RBI governor's reappointment. It all depends on who replaces him, he said.
"The first step was that in any fiscal management, we have to keep state governments on board... The DEA will be moving a note. We will also be giving our inputs. We will see how the committee if formed... It will eventually go to Cabinet," Finance Secretary Ratan Watal told reporters here.
The government is very much keen on making India a place having ease of business quotient, Panagariya said adding more is yet needed to be done.
The amendment is being made as per the flexibility provided by the 14th Finance Commission in its Fiscal Consolidation Roadmap to set the fiscal deficit targets and annual borrowing, Chief Secretary A P Padhi said.
In his Budget speech last month, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had said there is now a school of thought which believes that instead of fixed numbers as fiscal deficit targets, it may be better to have a fiscal deficit range as the target, which would give necessary policy space to the government to deal with ever-changing dynamics.
CNBC-TV18 learns that individual state governments may be allowed to exceed their fiscal deficit target on a case-by-case basis to implement the scheme meant for reviving the ailing discoms.
The bank has a total exposure of Rs 23,000 crore to this sector, of which loans worth Rs 12,000 crore are under the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) scheme, says Rakesh Sharma, Managing Director and CEO, Canara Bank.
Ashok Khurana, Director-General, Association of Power Producers says the power sector needs an immediate solution amidst the collapsing demand since past three years.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday confirmed that they have asked banks to have a relook into the loans that they had restructured after negotiating with various power distribution companies (discoms).