Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Restaurant Brands Asia
Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) posted -0.5% SSG in a subdued demand environment with ADS of 114 and Adj loss at Rs186mn. Indonesia business reported 9.5% decline in sales, green shoots in demand recovery with stabilizing geopolitical scenario and closure of non-performing stores. RBA’s India strategy is centered around 1) Value focus with combos (2 veg Burgers at Rs79, Chicken at Rs99) and value meals at Rs99 to drive in store traffic 2) digital driven ordering 3) cost reduction in delivery business and 4) control over overheads. Indonesia strategy is focusing on 1) zero store openings 2) lowering of overheads (35% cut already achieved) 3) menu innovations in chicken and driving efficiencies in procurement by leveraging size of Indian operations.
Outlook
Near term outlook looks hazy impending clarity on FY26 expansion in India, tepid demand scenario and sustained pressure in Indonesia business. We cut our SOTP based target price from Rs100 to Rs76. We retain Hold but avoid further entry till a clear turnaround is visible in Indian operations.
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