Edelweiss's research report on GlenmarkGlenmark Pharmaceuticals’ (GNP) Q4FY16 revenue grew 31% YoY, while EBITDA declined 24% YoY and APAT declined 40%. All geographies, including US, posted impressive growth. The company also recognised entire export incentives for the year in Q4 in ‘other operating income’. Low gross margin (down 200bps QoQ), high R&D costs (11%), forex loss due to Venezuela (INR 850mn) and one‐off legal cost (INR650mn) led to weak margins. The company guided for FY17 revenue growth of >25%, driven by Zetia and Nitroglycerin. However, balance sheet still holds ~USD45mn worth of Venezuelan assets at VEF10/USD, which could be written down. We cut FY17/18E EPS by 14%/15%. Maintain ‘HOLD’. We expect a much better FY17 led by Zetia and Nitroglycerin launches. Current valuation is 18x FY18 EPS. We maintain ‘HOLD/SP’ with target price of INR780 (based on 16x FY18E EPS).
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