Lower margins and weaker non-interest income led to Union Bank’s operating profits degrowth. Yet, its C/I was below 50%, suggesting decent overall operating performance. Headline asset quality and PCR improved. Key positives were: 1) modest slippages (1% of loans), 2) lower stress formation (SMA at 0.5% of loans), 3) decent traction in the retail/MSME books (up 5.7%/5.9% q/q) and 4) 15%+ RoE now for 10 straight quarters. We expect the bank to deliver a sustainable, ~14%, RoE in the medium term.
OutlookWe retain our Buy rating, with a 12-mth TP of Rs168, 0.9x P/ABV on the FY27e book.
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