September 28, 2016 / 18:42 IST
Motilal Oswal's research report on Bharat Electronics
Post strong order inflow of INR 170b in FY16, the management has guided orders worth INR 120b-150b in FY17 (our estimate: INR 135b; five-year average: INR 79b). Key orders wins expected in FY17 include: (a) hand-held thermal imagers, (b) electronic warfare systems for the Indian Army, and (c) network-centric systems for the P15 Bravo ships. The Akash weapon systems order worth INR 50b-60b along with the LR SAM (Barrak 8) is likely to slip to FY18. Annual order inflows over the next 2-3 years are expected to remain in the range of INR 100b-150b, as there is a strong pipeline of nomination-based orders.
We expect BHE to report EPS of INR 62 in FY17 and INR 69 in FY18. Maintain Buy; our target price is INR 1,450 (21x FY18E EPS). Key triggers are accelerated decision making toward large defense procurements and increased indigenization.
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