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Pimco's El-Erian gives 'low probability' of QE3

Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer of Pimco, on Thursday put low odds on a third round of US monetary stimulus unless there is a "major further deterioration" in the US economic outlook.

July 07, 2011 / 22:33 IST

Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer of Pimco, on Thursday put low odds on a third round of US monetary stimulus unless there is a "major further deterioration" in the US economic outlook.

"We would assign a low probability of this stage to QE3 given the general recognition that the forward-looking cost-benefit analysis has shifted away from the potential benefits and towards greater costs and risk," El-Erian said in a live blogging question and answer session on Reuters.com.

"Therefore, it would take a major further deterioration in the economic outlook, combined with a willingness by the Fed to take greater reputational and political risks," he said.

Pimco, which manages USD 1.2 trillion in assets, is home to the world's largest bond fund.

first published: Jul 7, 2011 09:04 pm

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