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Brent slips towards $108 as supply fears ease

Brent futures slipped towards USD 108 a barrel on Tuesday as supply fears from key exporters such as Libya eased, but losses were stemmed with a forecast fall in crude inventories in the world's largest oil consumer the United States.

August 06, 2013 / 11:59 IST

Brent futures slipped towards USD 108 a barrel on Tuesday as supply fears from key exporters such as Libya eased, but losses were stemmed with a forecast fall in crude inventories in the world's largest oil consumer the United States.

Libya's Oil Minister Abdelbari al-Arusi said output had improved and the government was working to end protests at oil facilities.

His comments followed Iranian President Hassan Rouhani signalling a willingness to improve relations with the West and end a dispute over Tehran's nuclear program, assuring investors that supply fears from key exporters were abating.

Brent crude slipped 26 cents to USD 108.46 by 0327 GMT, sliding for a third day in its longest losing streak since end-May. US oil fell 21 cents to USD 106.35, after ending 38 cents down. It is also down for a third straight day.

"Oil prices are pretty expensive at these levels and I doubt we will see them going much higher from here. They are more likely to trade sideways," said Tony Nunan, a risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp. "Some economic numbers out of the United States seem to suggest the US is slowing growing. That, and recent supply fears, have helped support prices."

Nunan expects USD 109 to be the next key resistance level for the US benchmark and USD 110 for Brent.

Brent rose nearly 10 percent in about six weeks, touching USD 110.09 on August 2, the highest since early April, in part due to worries over supply from major exporters such as Libya and Iraq. Prices have begun coming off after Rouhani's comments and as supply worries abate.

"Those outages and supply worries from the Middle East and Africa have provided support to oil," Nunan said.

Brent is expected retest a support at USD 107.40, with a good chance of breaking below this level and falling further, while US oil is expected to retest a support at USD 105.75, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

STOCKPILES

Yet, further losses were checked on expectations U.S. commercial crude and gasoline stockpiles fell last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.

The survey, ahead of weekly inventory reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), forecast an average crude stocks fall of 700,000 barrels in the week ended August 2.

In the previous week, US crude inventories rose 431,000 barrels to about 365 million barrels.

Even though risk premiums have come off, concerns over the crisis in Syria engulfing the region also continue to support prices. President Bashar al-Assad said crushing "terrorists" must come before any political solution to end the crisis in his country, dimming hopes of an international peace conference any time soon.

first published: Aug 6, 2013 10:20 am

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