Economy

OPINION | Wheat inflation may be triggered by April’s extreme weather patterns

India could see a dip of at least 10-15% in wheat production in the country. The worst hit state is Punjab 

China shock 2.0: the countries feeling the ‘Chinese squeeze’

The sheer scale of the manufacturing superpower threatens to shut out south-east Asian rivals before they can rise

Noida unrest ‘episodic’, doesn't alter investment climate, says Uttar Pradesh government

The state has set up a panel to review wages, as parity demand with Haryana gains traction. Administration steps up enforcement to maintain stability

China says economy grew 5% on-year in Q1, beating forecasts

Gross domestic product in the world's second-largest economy expanded 5.0 percent year-on-year in January-March

Tariff refunds face delays over slow importer opt-in, says US

Customs and Border Protection said in a Tuesday filing at the Court of International Trade that it is nearing completion of an automated process to issue refunds to importers that paid the tariffs

India slips to sixth-largest economy in 2025, now seen becoming third-biggest by 2031

A stronger dollar and GDP revisions offset robust nominal growth in rupee terms, pulling down India’s ranking

India, US set for talks from April 20–22; aim to finalise interim trade deal in next couple of months

The talks will take place alongside parallel developments, including India’s response to US investigations initiated under Section 301 of the U.S. Trade Act.

Unemployment rises to a five month high of 5.1% in March

Urban unemployment edged up to 6.8 percent in March from 6.6 percent in February

Indian exports to Middle East drop $3.5 billion in March, April to remain tough amid West Asia crisis

Key export sectors impacted include engineering goods, gems and jewellery, electronic goods, petroleum products, and rice, all of which saw reduced shipments to the Middle East during March.

ECLGS kind of mechanism to be rolled out soon for MSMEs, says MSME additional secy

The MSME ministry has stepped up its efforts and provided more than Rs 93,000 crore in credit guarantees to MSMEs in February and March

April to be tough month for exporters amid West Asia crisis: Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal

Rajesh Agrawal, Secretary in the Department of Commerce, said that while the current situation poses short-term difficulties, there is no broader concern for India’s overall export performance

LPG supply restoration may take 3-4 years as extent of damage remains unclear, says govt official

India meets 60% of LPG consumption through imports. Nearly 90 percent of these supplies were routed via the Strait of Hormuz before the war broke out

Wholesale inflation rises to a 3-year high of 3.88% in March on crude spike

The trajectory of wholesale inflation mirrors that of retail basket, which also rose to 3.4% from 3.21%

India shifts to ‘Aatmanirbhar 2.0’ as West Asia war rattles supply chains

The renewed push builds on measures introduced during the Covid-19 pandemic under the Aatmanirbhar initiative, which focused on boosting domestic capacity and cutting reliance on imports

Big policy shift? India may open ecommerce inventory model to FDI for exports

Small and medium enterprises are expected to benefit significantly from the move

Energy Diplomacy: India’s bid to keep balance is on a slippery track

Balancing neutrality with necessity, India’s Gulf outreach underscores the urgency of turning reactive energy diplomacy into long-term resilience

IMF raises India’s growth forecast to 6.5% for FY27

Inflation is set to more than double to 4.7 percent this fiscal compared with 2.1 percent in FY26

Fertiliser risks rise as sulphuric acid imports come under pressure

Not just fertiliser production, sulphuric acid is also critical for metal processing and battery manufacturing. China, a major producer of sulphuric acid, will halt exports from May, adding to pressure

Weak monsoon may hit pulses, soybean and cotton hardest; rice better cushioned by irrigation

Weak monsoon may hit pulses, soybean and cotton hardest; rice better cushioned by irrigation, Moneycontrol analysis shows

India’s GDP growth could slow by 0.8 percentage points if oil averages $130 in 2026: S&P Global Ratings

The global ratings agency said India’s GDP growth could fall from its base-case estimate of 7.1 percent for FY27

India plans $38 billion battery push, eyes ‘battery moat’ with approved vendor list

India is targeting a cumulative battery storage capacity of nearly 3 terawatt-hours by 2047 across sectors such as mobility, power, and electronics

Data Story: March inflation looks calm — until you check the energy numbers

The overall retail inflation for March is modest, but inflation in the energy sector tells a more uncomfortable story about what happens if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed

Below-normal monsoon, West Asia tensions may keep inflation elevated in FY27

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on April 13 projected monsoon rainfall at 92 percent of the long-period average (LPA), its weakest preliminary long-range forecast in nearly 26 years.

Hormuz blockade could lengthen India’s energy delivery times

Supplies from the US, Africa and Australia may take weeks longer to arrive