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Vivek Y Kelkar

Researcher And Analyst, .

How will global supply chains look like in 2024? China, US hold the clues

BUSINESS

How will global supply chains look like in 2024? China, US hold the clues

If Beijing’s belligerence in the South China Sea worsens, which is a distinct possibility, given its hardliner games with the Philippines in recent weeks, then the US would be tempted to switch its supply chains away from the region

Saudi Arabia, China And Russia: The fateful triangle that decides the future of oil prices

BUSINESS

Saudi Arabia, China And Russia: The fateful triangle that decides the future of oil prices

The slowdown in China and the clouds of recession over the global economy are pushing Putin and the Saudi crown prince together

Copper faces an uncertain future globally

BUSINESS

Copper faces an uncertain future globally

Long-term, much of the copper demand, and therefore its price, depends upon the green energy transition. China’s and the global economy’s slowdown cast a shadow in the near term

Why Xi Jinping’s China remains a worry for the world

BUSINESS

Why Xi Jinping’s China remains a worry for the world

China’s economy is facing its worst time for business confidence, both offshore and within borders. Xi Jinping’s hardline socialist approach is making businesses think twice before investing

China’s low-carbon success highlights cracks in its political system

ENVIRONMENT

China’s low-carbon success highlights cracks in its political system

While the country’s carbon emissions are projected to go into a structural decline, new coal project approvals are soaring

India’s climate change transition costs add to daunting challenges

BUSINESS

India’s climate change transition costs add to daunting challenges

For India funding challenges are formidable to say the least with the pressure on government to find the money for the net zero transition. But there are other very formidable socio-economic challenges too 

China-Iran-Russia nexus might see the Middle East emerge as a crucial fourth player

BUSINESS

China-Iran-Russia nexus might see the Middle East emerge as a crucial fourth player

The ostensible weakening of the Chinese economy and that West-based capital is avoiding China is known. But less noted is the quiet flow of funds from the Middle East to China

India’s agtech investments are rising but they’re not enough to transform the agri-sector

BUSINESS

India’s agtech investments are rising but they’re not enough to transform the agri-sector

In the absence of transformative laws that incentivise fundamental changes, India’s agtech revolution cannot drive deep-seated, consequential tech-related change

Qatar’s geopolitical clout on display even as global gas investments decline   

BUSINESS

Qatar’s geopolitical clout on display even as global gas investments decline   

Qatar’s China deals not only give Doha a bandwagon relationship with a rising superpower that has begun to establish itself in the Middle East and West Asia, but they also offer considerable regional and global geo-economic and geopolitical clout

What the US-China tech war means for Chinese private capital, semiconductors  

TECHNOLOGY

What the US-China tech war means for Chinese private capital, semiconductors  

China will have the ability to meld state and business interests moving capital from misallocated sectors to technology. It can also try and weaponise its supply chain advantages

How Israel has built its formidable military-technology-industrial complex 

POLITICS

How Israel has built its formidable military-technology-industrial complex 

Israel is a technology powerhouse, one that developed, built and deployed technology that was both disruptive and risk minimizing, closely allied with the military but with a creep over into non-military areas 

India’s net-zero transition needs a loose purse and a risk meter

BUSINESS

India’s net-zero transition needs a loose purse and a risk meter

An RBI report states that the real challenge for India will be in arranging new investment, estimated to be in the range of $7.2 trillion (baseline scenario) to $12.1 trillion (accelerated scenario) till 2050

Cost efficient nuclear energy is making a quiet global comeback

BUSINESS

Cost efficient nuclear energy is making a quiet global comeback

Small Modular Reactors promise to be the gamechanger that nuclear energy needs for its comeback. They can be built in half the time that the older larger reactors took—about five to six years—and they’re safer

India will drive global aluminium growth, but challenges remain

BUSINESS

India will drive global aluminium growth, but challenges remain

India’s per capita aluminium consumption is just 2.5 kg against the global norm of 11 kg and is poised to grow. The challenge is to increase domestic capacity but with a low carbon footprint 

IEA road to net zero doesn't count all costs

BUSINESS

IEA road to net zero doesn't count all costs

The critical pathway to the transition will involve largescale combinations of blended finance, technology dispersion at low costs and globally dispersed production chains

Lessons for India from China’s EV strategy

BUSINESS

Lessons for India from China’s EV strategy

The core of the Chinese strategy is to build cost-efficient scale with policies targeting the complete value chain— from inbound raw materials across operations down to marketing and sales

Spice route versus Silk route: Which one has the upper hand?

BUSINESS

Spice route versus Silk route: Which one has the upper hand?

China has already taken the lead in building soft economic power with Europe, offering efficient trade connectivity. Is there room for one more pathway?

India needs to fix its farm infrastructure urgently to avoid another tomato burst  

BUSINESS

India needs to fix its farm infrastructure urgently to avoid another tomato burst  

India’s storage capacity for food grains is 790 million tonnes. But its cold storage facilities at 37.5 million tonnes are largely limited to four states and do not cater to large sections of agri-produce, each of which has distinct storage characteristics

The world is unwilling to give up on fossil fuel subsidies

BUSINESS

The world is unwilling to give up on fossil fuel subsidies

These pernicious forms of subsidies not only divert public and private funds from other useful economic activities, but also harm the environment

Beyond state schemes, India’s MSMEs need strategic govt push to flourish

BUSINESS

Beyond state schemes, India’s MSMEs need strategic govt push to flourish

The strategically focused push that envisages the MSME sector as a vital link in a massive industrial value chain-driven machine is missing

Resolving India’s BRICS dilemma calls for shrewd exercise of limited leverage

BUSINESS

Resolving India’s BRICS dilemma calls for shrewd exercise of limited leverage

India needs to be inside the BRICS room to build its sphere of influence in the Global South and prevent a quite takeover by China but also be counted among its Westphalian friends

Xi Jinping’s ideological dictums leave China in a soup over economic growth

BUSINESS

Xi Jinping’s ideological dictums leave China in a soup over economic growth

The contradictions in Xi’s ideology, as a functional instrument beyond political rhetoric, that seeks to mobilize economic instruments for growth, negatively impact the very economic governance system that gave China its growth

There’s a war below the sea over submarine cables

BUSINESS

There’s a war below the sea over submarine cables

Globally, of the 486 cables currently in use, 148 undersea cables are slated to reach the end of their service life within the next ten years and need to be replaced. Another 80 are under construction and slated to be ready around 2025

A slowing Saudi economy has little choice but to cut production

BUSINESS

A slowing Saudi economy has little choice but to cut production

Saudi Arabia finds itself in a catch-22 situation. Oil production cuts have slowed its economy, but weakening demand prospects aren’t giving the Kingdom the benefit of the cuts  

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