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Vivek Y Kelkar

Researcher And Analyst

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Europe’s bid for strategic autonomy faces twin hurdles: Trump’s tariffs and China’s clout

BUSINESS

Europe’s bid for strategic autonomy faces twin hurdles: Trump’s tariffs and China’s clout

The European Union’s quest for strategic autonomy is increasingly under strain, caught between an unpredictable US and an assertive China. As the trade landscape shifts, the bloc’s internal fractures and external dependencies are being laid bare

ASEAN is emerging as a vital cog in the global economy amid US-China rivalry

BUSINESS

ASEAN is emerging as a vital cog in the global economy amid US-China rivalry

Trump’s myopic view on trade deficits mars the future of transatlantic cooperation against China

BUSINESS

Trump’s myopic view on trade deficits mars the future of transatlantic cooperation against China

Trump’s latest tariff threat against the European Union exposes the fragile underpinnings of transatlantic trade. With mutual dependencies high and China lurking as a strategic rival, the US and EU face a tough test of economic diplomacy

US-China rivalry heats up in Gulf tech, defence deals

BUSINESS

US-China rivalry heats up in Gulf tech, defence deals

President Donald Trump’s recent trip to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar marked a dramatic shift in US foreign policy—from values-driven diplomacy to pure transactionalism. Massive tech, defence, and mining deals highlight an intensifying US-China rivalry playing out in the Middle East

China-US trade war may have paused, but geopolitical rivalry hasn’t

BUSINESS

China-US trade war may have paused, but geopolitical rivalry hasn’t

Despite a 90-day tariff truce, the broader US-China trade conflict remains unresolved, with global trade splintering and strategic tensions on the rise

America scores big in Ukraine minerals deal, Europe left out

BUSINESS

America scores big in Ukraine minerals deal, Europe left out

A new US-Ukraine minerals deal is being touted as a strategic win, but the fine print suggests something deeper. It signals a shift in how the US is shaping post-war stakes, influence, and alliances — with Europe, Russia, and even Ukraine

Can global firms navigate the age of economic weaponisation?

BUSINESS

Can global firms navigate the age of economic weaponisation?

Multinational firms are facing a new era of complexity that could reshape how, and where, they invest

Long-term dilemmas await Asia caught in US-China tariff rivalry

BUSINESS

Long-term dilemmas await Asia caught in US-China tariff rivalry

India has diplomatic edge but cannot escape the threat from the US-China rivalry

The rare weapon in China’s economic arsenal

BUSINESS

The rare weapon in China’s economic arsenal

As tensions rise between Washington and Beijing, a quiet but powerful move is playing out in global supply chains. This isn’t just about tariffs or tweets—it’s about materials hidden in the gears of global innovation, from defence to electric vehicles. A new front in the US-China standoff has opened, and the implications are far-reaching

Trump’s tariffs signal a hard pivot to security-driven economic nationalism

BUSINESS

Trump’s tariffs signal a hard pivot to security-driven economic nationalism

Trump’s tariffs risk making China a bigger headache for Asia

BUSINESS

Trump’s tariffs risk making China a bigger headache for Asia

China’s territorial ambitions, weaponization of trade and burgeoning surplus are already causing trouble in the continent. Why US tariffs may make a bad situation worse

Shifting Sands in the Middle East: A new global power struggle emerges

BUSINESS

Shifting Sands in the Middle East: A new global power struggle emerges

The Middle East is once again at the centre of a high-stakes geopolitical chess game, with global powers vying for influence over a crisis that could reshape alliances and redefine the balance of power. As new strategies and alliances emerge, the unfolding scenario hints at a world where the traditional players might not hold all the cards

Can India handle the policy dilemmas thrown up by Trump, China and the EU?

BUSINESS

Can India handle the policy dilemmas thrown up by Trump, China and the EU?

Amid shifting global power dynamics, escalating tariff wars, and the evolving centrality of manufacturing, India finds itself at a crossroads. With opportunities to reshape its economic future and vulnerabilities to address, the path it chooses now could redefine its role in the geo-economic landscape

Can Europe rebuild its economic, military muscle?

BUSINESS

Can Europe rebuild its economic, military muscle?

Europe faces mounting security and economic challenges as it grapples with Donald Trump’s unpredictable policies, rising geopolitical tensions, and internal divisions. The EU’s proposed ReArm Europe Plan aims to rebuild defence capabilities while balancing economic resilience and green commitments

India’s FTA with the EU will face a Trump problem

BUSINESS

India’s FTA with the EU will face a Trump problem

The EU’s position is sticky after Trump has made America an unreliable ally

Trump leaves Europe’s future considerably weakened -- and uncertain

BUSINESS

Trump leaves Europe’s future considerably weakened -- and uncertain

America’s warming up to Russia is putting Europe in disarray

Trump’s policies could make the EU a contested geopolitical space

BUSINESS

Trump’s policies could make the EU a contested geopolitical space

The EU’s disarray comes at a time when US-Russia-China relations are changing fast

Modi’s US visit can help India secure its long-term strategic goals

BUSINESS

Modi’s US visit can help India secure its long-term strategic goals

The outcome of the visit will have a significant impact on India’s economy, manufacturing sector, defence capabilities and its projection as a global superpower 

A new Trump tariff era could benefit China, disadvantage US

BUSINESS

A new Trump tariff era could benefit China, disadvantage US

Canada, Mexico and China will feel the heat from Trump’s tariff war, but the US will not be left unscathed either, in a conflict that threatens to envelop the world

Trump’s executive orders will disincentivise US industry, boost China

BUSINESS

Trump’s executive orders will disincentivise US industry, boost China

The exit from the Paris Agreement and ending support to EVs risks leaving US auto-makers behind and climate change mitigation-related technology, cementing China’s lead in these markets

The lessons from China’s sustained dominance in the global EV market

BUSINESS

The lessons from China’s sustained dominance in the global EV market

A recent proposal by China to restrict export of EV battery technology may be just another step to maintain its global EV dominance that has been built carefully over the years

Will geopolitics derail natural gas markets in 2025?

BUSINESS

Will geopolitics derail natural gas markets in 2025?

Ukraine’s refusal to allow transit of Russian gas is a signal of how geopolitics could upend economics in 2025 and beyond. The US, Iran, the Middle East and China all figure in the risk equations

Will India carve out a significant role for itself in the undersea cable wars?

BUSINESS

Will India carve out a significant role for itself in the undersea cable wars?

India is now aiming to utilise its advantageous geographic location to position itself as a power hub both across the global undersea cable network

India’s growing dependence on Chinese imports is a potential security issue

BUSINESS

India’s growing dependence on Chinese imports is a potential security issue

New Delhi is concentrating on the benefits of shared prosperity but there are security concerns with China

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