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Budget Express 2026

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Rbi Monetary Policy

Formulated and conceived by the RBI (Reserve Bank of India), the monetary policy details the monetary matters and policies of the country. These matters include regulating the supply and availability of money in the Indian market and the credit scenario and its cost in the economy. This is done via managing the bank rates, interest rates, currency supply, variations in reserve requirements, open market operations and more. The policy also oversees the distribution of credit among users as well as the borrowing and lending rates of interest. In a country like India, monetary policy is very important in the promotion of economic growth. The monetary policy framework aims to set the policy repo and reverse repo rates as per the country’s prevailing macroeconomic situations. By making adjustments in these monetary policy measures, the apex bank aims at modulating the liquidity conditions in the market. The rise and fall in these rates decide the levels of savings and investments in the country, inflation levels, controlling exports and imports and monitoring the aggregate demand in the economy. This policy also helps in assessing which sectors in the country are in dire need of monetary support and allocate credit accordingly. The key indicators of monetary policy include CRR, SLR, Repo and Reverse rate, Bank rate and the Marginal Standing Facility Rate. More

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  • RBI keeps policy stance unchanged, commits to adequate liquidity; rates likely on hold through FY27

    RBI keeps policy stance unchanged, commits to adequate liquidity; rates likely on hold through FY27

    While the RBI is expected to be in the long pause and stay on hold for entire FY27, Deepak Agrawal of Kotak Mahindra AMC anticipates the 10-year G-Sec yield to trade in the range of 6.60-6.80% in the near to medium term.

  • RBI MPC finds no need for immediate monetary support as comfortable with growth-inflation trajectory, hints at pause in coming meetings

    RBI MPC finds no need for immediate monetary support as comfortable with growth-inflation trajectory, hints at pause in coming meetings

    RBI is committed to proactive management of liquidity in the LAF window and the banking system, so as to keep short term yields rangebound.

  • RBI policy unlikely to deliver dramatic surprises in the near term, but signals a steady hand; why the pause makes sense

    RBI policy unlikely to deliver dramatic surprises in the near term, but signals a steady hand; why the pause makes sense

    RBI’s stance appears neither hesitant nor overly conservative. It reflects a pragmatic balancing act: preserving inflation credibility, supporting growth momentum and retaining sufficient policy ammunition should global conditions turn less benign.

  • RBI Policy: Bet on these 9 rate-sensitive stocks as RBI maintains status quo with neutral stance

    RBI Policy: Bet on these 9 rate-sensitive stocks as RBI maintains status quo with neutral stance

    Moneycontrol collated top 9 rate-sensitive stocks from experts to accumulate after the RBI policy decision:.

  • RBI decides to pause, all eyes on new GDP and CPI series

    RBI decides to pause, all eyes on new GDP and CPI series

    After front-loading rate cuts, the central bank focus is on transmission

  • Decoding the liquidity shift: Has the RBI engineered a stealth rate cut?

    Decoding the liquidity shift: Has the RBI engineered a stealth rate cut?

    Abhishek Bisen of Kotak Mahindra AMC expects the MPC to keep the repo rate unchanged to 5.25% and stance at neutral.

  • MPC Poll | RBI likely to hold rates in February policy amid comfort on inflation, higher growth

    MPC Poll | RBI likely to hold rates in February policy amid comfort on inflation, higher growth

    Since February, 2025, the MPC has reduced the repo rate by 125 bps to aid growth, with a 25 bps cut each in February and April, 50 bps in June, and 25 bps in December. However, the RBI has kept repo rate unchanged in August and October monetary policy.

  • BNP Paribas expects another 25 bps repo cut by RBI in February 2026

    BNP Paribas expects another 25 bps repo cut by RBI in February 2026

    The brokerage expects monetary conditions to remain supportive of growth, with liquidity improving alongside policy easing, setting the stage for a more durable transmission of rate cuts into the banking system.

  • Economists expect RBI to cut rates in February too amid lower inflation projection

    Economists expect RBI to cut rates in February too amid lower inflation projection

    On December 5, the central bank cut repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25 percent after keeping rates unchanged for two times in a row

  • RBI cuts rates amid benign inflation and strong growth: The perfect hook shot

    RBI cuts rates amid benign inflation and strong growth: The perfect hook shot

    Overall, it was a well-balanced policy, and we expect a long pause in this cycle—much like a batter choosing not to swing at every delivery after finding the boundary early in the test innings.

  • RBI’s forward guidance stays dovish, but offers no clear signal of a February rate cut

    RBI’s forward guidance stays dovish, but offers no clear signal of a February rate cut

    The floor for the repo rate in this cycle has already been hit. This is because the guidance for H1FY27 Headline CPI is at 4 percent and with the current repo rate at 5.25 percent, the real gap is low at 1.25 percent.

  • RBI MPC Analysis: Forget Rupee, focus on growth - the straight message from RBI Governor

    RBI MPC Analysis: Forget Rupee, focus on growth - the straight message from RBI Governor

    Loans are set to get cheaper once again, which signals that banks are expected to play a pivotal role in lifting domestic growth, just like they did post pandemic. Is the market dynamics in favour of a quality credit growth; that’s the challenge ahead.

  • Julius Baer's Unmesh Kulkarni sees rate cut pause in Feb meet, says RBI not worried about rupee's fall

    Julius Baer's Unmesh Kulkarni sees rate cut pause in Feb meet, says RBI not worried about rupee's fall

    The MPC might want to see improved transmission of the cumulative rate cuts carried out so far.

  • Experts pick 10 rate sensitive stocks as RBI slashes repo rate, revises FY26 GDP growth forecast upward

    Experts pick 10 rate sensitive stocks as RBI slashes repo rate, revises FY26 GDP growth forecast upward

    The rate cut and upward revision in economic growth forecast was on expected lines given the fall in CPI inflation and sharp growth in economic numbers in September 2025 quarter.

  • RBI MPC | Is RBI preempting liquidity tightening in later part of December?

    RBI MPC | Is RBI preempting liquidity tightening in later part of December?

    RBI cut repo rate by 25 bps and announced OMOs plus a USD/INR swap to inject durable liquidity ahead of December tax outflows, easing rate and liquidity stress.

  • RBI reduces FY26 inflation forecast to 2%

    RBI reduces FY26 inflation forecast to 2%

    RBI projected Q3 FY26 inflation at 0.6% as compared to 1.8% earlier, and Q4 at 2.9% as compared to 4.0% earlier.

  • RBI MPC Highlights: Interest rate cut 25 bps, Rs 1 lakh cr OMO and $5 bn swap unveiled; GDP forecast raised to 7.3%

    RBI MPC Highlights: Interest rate cut 25 bps, Rs 1 lakh cr OMO and $5 bn swap unveiled; GDP forecast raised to 7.3%

    The RBI cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.25 percent as was widely expected, announced Rs 1 lakh crore of OMOs and a 3-year dollar–rupee swap, and raised FY26 GDP growth forecast to 7.3 percent.

  • RBI monetary policy on Friday; mixed expectations on rate cut, status quo

    RBI monetary policy on Friday; mixed expectations on rate cut, status quo

    The meeting is taking place against the backdrop of falling inflation, rising GDP growth, the rupee crossing 90 against the dollar and ongoing geopolitical tensions.

  • Why is rate cut a tough call for RBI? Six factors to track in the December MPC meeting

    Why is rate cut a tough call for RBI? Six factors to track in the December MPC meeting

    Experts are of the view that the central bank will announce some measures on the liquidity front such as Open Market Operations (OMO) purchases to support banking system liquidity during time when the activity in the forex intervention has increased after rupee crossed 90-mark.

  • RBI to announce monetary policy amid expectations of 25-basis point reduction in repo rate

    RBI to announce monetary policy amid expectations of 25-basis point reduction in repo rate

    The MPC started its three-day deliberation on the next set of bi-monthly monetary policy on Wednesday.

  • Mixed signals ahead of monetary policy: Kotak Mahindra AMC sees a 50% probability of a 25 bps rate cut

    Mixed signals ahead of monetary policy: Kotak Mahindra AMC sees a 50% probability of a 25 bps rate cut

    Deepak Agrawal of Kotak Mahindra AMC expects the RBI to revise its FY26 GDP growth forecast above 6.8 percent.

  • 17 of 20 experts back December rate cut despite GDP uptick; banks’ margins at risk

    17 of 20 experts back December rate cut despite GDP uptick; banks’ margins at risk

    The RBI has so far reduced repo rate by 100 bps from 6.5% to 5.55 between February and June. After that, it RBI has maintained a status quo in the August and October policies.

  • MC Poll: RBI MPC may cut rates by 25 bps in December meet as low inflation offers comfort

    MC Poll: RBI MPC may cut rates by 25 bps in December meet as low inflation offers comfort

    The MPC will meet between December 3 and 5 for another round of rate setting deliberations.

  • RBI policy provides a dovish tweak, bar for further rate easing remains high

    RBI policy provides a dovish tweak, bar for further rate easing remains high

    Overall, the wait-and-watch policy of the RBI is prudent as it factors in incoming data prints into its reaction function.

  • Despite moderating growth and lowered inflation forecast, why did RBI MPC hold off on rate cut in October?

    Despite moderating growth and lowered inflation forecast, why did RBI MPC hold off on rate cut in October?

    While the MPC voted unanimously to keep policy rates unchanged, a couple of MPC members expressed their views for changing the policy stance from ‘neutral’ to ‘accommodative’.

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