Last week Nifty closed at 25,571 with a 0.39% gain. Benchmarks rose despite volatility while small caps fell. The outlook is still bearish and selling pressure may continue
After the initial gap-up opening on Monday, a short-term dip cannot be ruled out. Any decline toward the 25,750–25,780 zone could present a buying opportunity for a near-term target of 26,002, Ashish Kyal advised. Among stocks, he believes Granules India appears strong from a short-term perspective, having delivered a decisive breakout from a triangle pattern in the previous session. KEI Industries has also witnessed a strong breakout from a multi-resistance zone around Rs 4,600, supported by healthy volumes in the prior trading session, he said in an interview to Moneycontrol.
According to Shailendra Kumar, the court ruling does not put uncertainty to rest; rather, it is likely to create a new layer of uncertainty in the near term.
A prolonged conflict between the US and Iran will keep the oil prices high, in turn raising India’s energy spending and feeding into inflation, says Lotusdew’s Prachi Deuskar.
On the upside, the 25,950–26,000 band stands as an immediate resistance zone. How the index reacts around these key levels will determine the next meaningful directional move, said Sudeep Shah.
Rahul Bhuskute of Bharti AXA Life Insurance believes the market has largely priced in current information regarding the US trade deal. Investors are now focused on the formal signing.
Axis MF's Shreyash Devalkar expects Nifty 50 earnings to rebound meaningfully with mid-teen growth in FY27 and FY28.
AI is transforming the industry’s focus rather than reducing its relevance, says Rajesh Iyer of LGT.
Lag effects of softer monetary policy, the stimulus of GST rationalisation and the better prospects of manufactured exports post ratification of trade deals is expected to improve this earnings growth momentum further into the mid teens later into the year.
Ajit Banerjee expects fourth quarter to close the fiscal year on a firmer footing compared to the relatively softer first half. Overall earnings growth for FY26 is likely to be in the high single digits, with FY27 appearing more constructive, potentially delivering growth of around 15%.
Technical analysis suggests this bearish extreme may be nearing exhaustion
While global events remain a risk, Varun Goel expects earnings growth for India small caps to bounce back from a cyclical low in FY25. Smallcaps are inherently more volatile, and sharp corrections are part of the cycle.
The daily and weekly RSI oscillator levels also suggest a sideways trending market, said Rahul Ghose.
If global risk appetite improves and domestic earnings remain in the mid-teens range, India can deliver relative outperformance, though returns are likely to be more moderate than the previous post-pandemic surge, said Sonam Srivastava of Wright Research PMS.
Max Financial Services has delivered a horizontal trendline breakout on the daily chart, backed by steady follow-through and rising volumes, which strengthens the validity of the move said Sudeep Shah.
With Indian firms already diversifying into high-growth markets like the EU, US and UK, Pranab Uniyal doesn’t anticipate a long-term structural threat to India’s textile sector.
The government’s focus on stimulating domestic consumption is expected to enhance capacity utilisation levels, which should, in turn, catalyse a meaningful pickup in private capital expenditure over the next 12–18 months, said Rakesh Vyas.
The Indian IT sector is likely to witness moderate growth in FY26, with earnings stabilizing after a period of strong expansion, said Anirudh Garg.
The textile sector in India is relatively well placed as compared to other countries following the announcement of the India-US trade deal. Lower tariffs will improve the competitiveness of the sector and support export-oriented players, said Umeshkumar Mehta.
Divam Sharma expects volatility to persist in the short term, but the medium-term outlook for Indian equities remains firmly positive.
Third quarter earnings showed sector-level divergence where overall the good revenue growth for sectors such as financial services, industrials, healthcare, auto and business services, said Ashwini Shami.
Markets stayed volatile despite trade optimism; Nifty rose 1.47%. Breadth stretched, FIIs still bearish. Sector rotation favors financials, oil & gas; caution advised ahead near-term
Traders should refrain from aggressive dip-buying in IT stocks and consider using rallies toward resistance as opportunities to sell until momentum improves, Sudeep Shah said.
Dinshaw Irani doesn't expect the RBI to undertake any rate cuts in the next couple of meetings as even the previous rate cuts have not resulted in the G-Sec yields coming down.
Ankita Pathak believes valuations remain high as compared to the EM basket and return of FPIs would be crucial for a based recovery of the market.