Once uncertainty around the India–US trade deal clears, market attention is likely to shift toward broader macro and domestic drivers, said George Heber Joseph.
The trade deal is anticipated to attract back foreign portfolio investors, who have been cautious due to tariff tensions and trade uncertainties, said Vipul Bhowar.
A slow and steady ascent has characterised the Nifty's third consecutive week of gains. Weak market breadth continues to unsettle investors, though the midcap index has bounced back
While the Nifty is yet to decisively breach its all-time high, unlike the Bank Nifty, both the price structure and candlestick formations suggest it could do so soon, said Rahul Ghose.
While a 25-bps cut remains possible, it’s unlikely to be the dominant driver for long-term yields, which are more sensitive to fiscal dynamics and next year’s budget, said Nimesh Chandan.
For the banking sector, Sneha Jain expects H1 2026 to reflect improved margins, healthier treasury performance, and more stable balance-sheet dynamics.
The Nifty IT index is trading comfortably above its 200-day EMA, reinforcing the ongoing strength in its structure, said Sudeep Shah.
Srinivas Rao Ravuri remains positive on Indian equities, with a preference for large caps. Valuations are at a modest premium to long-term averages, which is sustainable in an earnings-upcycle, he said.
The challenges for the market are on the global side in 2026. A slowdown in US growth after a long AI driven tech cycle, volatile foreign flows and stretched pockets in small and thematic names can create air pockets, Sonam Srivastava said.
Tailwinds for India in 2026 could be the India-US trade deal and several other bilateral trade deals with other trading blocks or countries, said Vikas Gupta.
When energy realignment, tariff posture, and diplomatic signalling all shift in the same direction, they often foreshadow a breakthrough before it becomes publicly visible. Under those conditions, the emergence of a India-US trade deal within a short window would be a natural extension of the trajectory already in motion, said Anil Rego.
GST rationalisation and increased credit borrowing in the upcoming festive season is going to boost the growth in NBFCs, said Divam Sharma.
Overall, after Q2 earnings, Gautam Duggad has raised earnings estimates of coverage universe by 2.3 percentage points for FY26 led by oil & gas, PSU banks, telecom, insurance, and metals.
Global markets fell after strong US jobs data dimmed rate cut hopes, while the Indian rupee hit a record low and US-India trade uncertainty hurt investor sentiment.
The prolonged corporate earnings per share (EPS) downgrade cycle has finally stabilized over the last three months. The Q2 FY26 results have tracked better than expectations, leading to selective earnings upgrades, said Pranab Uniyal.
Pradeep Gupta of Anand Rathi Group said that while some pockets still face valuation pressures and near-term volatility persists due to US policy uncertainty, the domestic backdrop remains resilient.
“The charts may be celebrating near the highs, but the broader market’s behaviour in the coming days will reveal whether this rally gains real strength, or remains a selective rise dressed up as a bull run,” said Sudeep Shah.
Aparna Shanker continues to favour financials, lenders, capital market plays and insurers, where formalization, productivity improvements, and better balance-sheet strength are translating into durable growth opportunities.
A correction is already underway in the US markets. The US has massive issues with its K-shaped recovery and now a potential nasty overhang from tariffs and over-enthusiasm towards, said P Krishnan.
For corporates, the steady wage and employment trends directly support top-line growth and improve visibility in sectors such as FMCG, autos, real estate and discretionary spending, Anirudh Garg said.
A formal announcement of India-US trade deal is expected before the holiday season, said Rohit Gulati.
Venkatesh Balasubramaniam expects GDP growth to be around 7% in FY26, on the back of revival in consumption and a pickup in capex intensity. Adequate monsoons and comfortable reservoir levels would support sowing activity, aiding overall economic growth.
Overall, technical patterns suggest Bank Nifty is potentially entering the 3rd wave higher, said Ashish Kyal.
Infra is another sector that Kush Gupta follows very closely. H thinks the sector has given good returns and will continue to shine.
Going forward, if valuations turn attractive or earnings upgrades gain meaningful momentum, the market could initiate its next bull phase, Shailendra Kumar believes.