Capital flows are in the midst of a tough phase, which has had a knock-on effect on the composition of foreign exchange reserves. RBI may increase interest rates sooner than later to offset narrow interest rate differentials
Beyond the political noise, BIS exchange rate data exposes the true scale of competitive devaluations, showing why China's surplus is a policy outcome while India's deficit reveals a growth story
Such a policy can be operationalized by adding a quantitative clause to whatever inflation target measure or formula mandated
As global reliance on the US dollar declines, India cautiously adapts—balancing local currency trade, reserve diversification, and strategic autonomy to strengthen its financial resilience in an emerging multipolar global economy
Switzerland’s success shows that a nation can revalue its way to prosperity
Trade deals are being pursued by countries amid tariff uncertainty
The Indian rupee is gaining ground as global investors bet on India’s economic resilience and dollar weakness, but there are risks ahead
The pound dropped to a more than one-year low, stocks fell and gilts extended a fourth day of losses on concern the Labour government will struggle to keep the deficit in check as borrowing costs surge
There’s no silver bullet in the currency markets
Volatility will rule and investors are clueless on EM trades
The short- and long-term prospects of the currency are at odds
Yen carry trades are back but is another unwinding around the corner?
India's inclusion in global bond indices via the Fully Accessible Route (FAR) has attracted foreign capital, but also exposes the country to volatility risks. Policymakers must balance the benefits of foreign inflows with the need to manage currency and interest rate pressures
India and Myanmar are working on a local currency trade settlement mechanism. Despite the bilateral trade being a negligible share of India’s overall trade, the challenges in creating a smooth settlement process here are a pointer to the larger issues which need to be addressed if the Rupee is to be used to settle trades with larger partners
The world’s newest currency, Caribbean Guilder, is the outcome of a currency union between two countries with different economic structures and a sharp disparity in income. The underlying economic conditions are far removed from the ideal scenario for such a union. The journey of the Caribbean Guilder will be followed with interest
Japan stepped in at key moments, showing that governments do have agency even when battling huge markets
The Chinese currency’s gains are notable because economic prospects have deteriorated
Economies in Europe, Asia and emerging markets will all benefit as the Fed’s new interest-rate story takes hold
The quantum and duration of the resulting correction in Indian stock markets will depend on how much more unwinding is expected from Yen carry traders, and how much more support can be expected from DIIs during the consequent FII outflows
The paper said that large and sharp appreciations and the unwinding of the yen carry trade run the risk of lowering actual and expected inflation, squeezing corporate profits, and generating a negative wealth effect through depressed equity prices
The leap in the yen and fall in higher-yielding currencies suggests that the dollar-yen carry trade and some of these other yen carry trades really did unwind
The dollar is no longer as dominant as it was in the eighties or nineties but it’s no pushover either as countries such as China push their own currency as a replacement
As long as the dollar is the competition for domestic transactions, stabilising the peso will not be easy
A surging US currency, and weakening counterparts in Asia, aren’t signs that the world is entering a new FX war
The greenback is strong because the American economy is vigorous. The region does have choices, none of them easy