Retail-led expansion and regulatory overhauls are pushing India’s credit cycle in FY26
India’s festive season boom isn’t just about rising consumption, it’s how borrowing has become part of everyday financial behaviour
ICRA said the second order effect of Trump’s tariffs are likely to have an impact on the personal loan segment, with banks and NBFCs already going slow for over a year now.
While industry and services credit remain steady, the sharp deceleration in personal loans points to cooling household demand.
Banks and NBFCs should make special efforts to boost formal credit to them, RBI Governor said, adding that they should leverage the public digital infrastructure like the Unified Lending Interface (ULI) to achieve results.
The last time when the bank credit growth was above current growth rate was as on April 18, 2025, at 10.28 percent.
The share of new-to-credit customers in originations continued to decrease with lenders becoming cautious.
While it is often perceived that bank credit growth is a derivate of GDP growth, the fact is both are interlinked. If credit growth posted by banks is muted, GDP growth is unlikely to outperform the loan growth data. At 11.5% as per recent RBI data, bank loan growth isn’t very inspiring
Overall, the data shows that bank credit marked a slowdown in the year 2024, falling to 10.6 per cent from 20.9 per cent, with only loans to industries showing a pickup.
Bank lending to agriculture segment grew by just 6.5 percent between March 2024 and October 18 compared with 10.6 percent in the comparable year-ago period as banks slowed lending
If banks don’t respond to the CRR cut by passing on the excess liquidity to the borrowers through cheaper loans, the ball will be back in the RBI’s court to offer a growth stimulus post the disappointing Q2 numbers.
Bankers are bullish. This optimism could be due to the increased capex spending plans of corporations and start of a lower interest rate era that could spur consumer demand
Despite having close to 2000 banks, the ratio is only at 58 percent for India, even as countries with fewer banks boast of a higher number
In the financial year 2023-24, bank credit rose 19.12 percent in the FY24 to Rs 169.14 lakh crore, as compared to Rs 142 lakh crore in the year ago period. On the other hand, deposit grew 13.4 percent on-year to Rs 212.54 lakh crore by the end of FY24.
Within personal loans, housing loan growth remained range-bound during FY24, with signs of improvement in April and May 2024, survey added.
Bank credit to MSMEs in Jan-Feb was higher than even advances to the housing sector. Brighter business prospects and a regulatory change may explain the jump
PN Vasudevan said that the bank’s CD ratio stands at 91.5 percent and is at a comfortable level.
With the 2024 Budget session left, the 17th Lok Sabha has already seen the most number of suspensions in India’s legislative history. Meanwhile, expenditure of Indian students going abroad is on the rise and is expected cross USD 70 billion annually by 2025, according to estimates.
According to experts, credit to the segment fell due to risks of high defaults and global slowdown in demand for certain industries.
There has been a slowdown in headline credit growth in recent months but retail loans and credit to services have held up. Analysts believe that loan growth is broad-based which augurs well for India’s economic health.
The central bank collects deployment of bank credit data from the 40 select scheduled commercial banks (SCB), which accounts for about 93 percent of the total non-food credit deployed by all SCBs.
The star of the show this fiscal year has been the services sector. Loans outstanding to the services sector showed a growth of a mere 1.8 percent in the first quarter of FY23, compared to 7.7 percent in Q1 of the current fiscal year
Outstanding credit to the aviation sector rose 41 percent on May 19 from a year earlier, according to data from the central bank.
Loan to agriculture and allied activities improved to 16.7 per cent (y-o-y) in April 2023 from 10.6 per cent a year ago.
Also, customers can avail 8.25% on scheme called fixed deposit plus for a tenure of more than 2-3 years, the bank said. Senior citizens will get 8.80 per cent.