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  • No cut in repo rate by RBI was expected amid high inflation: Economists

    "However, the cut in the CRR by 50 bps would help support growth, after the sharp downward revision in the forecast for FY2025."

  • States on course to spend 29% more in capex this fiscal: Icra

    States on course to spend 29% more in capex this fiscal: Icra

    The increased capex spending will see their debt-level in relation to their gross domestic product rising to 30 per cent from 28.9 per cent in FY23, a report by Icra Ratings said.

  • Despite near record supply, states borrowing cost dips marginally

    Despite near record supply, states borrowing cost dips marginally

    Aditi Nayar, the chief economist and head of research at Icra Ratings, said the drawdown is a sharp 24 per cent more than indicated in the quarterly borrowing calendar

  • Centre, states should avoid sharp fiscal tightening in FY2022, says ICRA

    Centre, states should avoid sharp fiscal tightening in FY2022, says ICRA

    A revenue deficit of 3.5 percent of GDP and a fiscal deficit of around 5 percent of GDP for the Government of India may allow enough space for prioritising health expenditure, vaccine rollout as well as capital spending.

  • DAILY VOICE | MPC could cut repo rate by 25 bps & reverse Repo by 35 bps: Aditi Nayar

    DAILY VOICE | MPC could cut repo rate by 25 bps & reverse Repo by 35 bps: Aditi Nayar

    With liquidity remaining in substantial surplus, we expect the banking system to rapidly transmit additional rate cuts, thereby supporting the case for front-loading of policy easing

  • RBI Monetary Policy: Rate cut and liquidity management measures expected

    RBI Monetary Policy: Rate cut and liquidity management measures expected

    There is a high likelihood of a 25 bps cut in the repo rate.

  • 'Demonetisation to pull down India's GDP growth in near term'

    'Demonetisation to pull down India's GDP growth in near term'

    CII Director General Chandrajit Banerjee said the "demonetisation move will act as a temporary setback to growth in the coming quarter", adding that the numbers point to continuing dependence on consumption and public spending to revive demand while investments are showing a declining trend compared with last year.

  • Investment uptick required to see full economic recovery: ICRA

    Investment uptick required to see full economic recovery: ICRA

    India Nikkei's October manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 54.4. A considerable rise compared to September's 52.1. The index is at its highest level since Demcember 2014.

  • RBI to defer a 25 bps rate cut to December meeting: ICRA

    RBI to defer a 25 bps rate cut to December meeting: ICRA

    Monetary Policy Committee may choose to wait for confirmation of the dampening effects of the higher output on prices after the harvest reaches the market, before embarking on the rate cut.

  • Reforms to boost growth; banking risks a constraint: Moody's

    Reforms to boost growth; banking risks a constraint: Moody's

    "In Moody's view, over time, the multi-pronged but step-wise approach to reform will foster a stable macroeconomic environment. In particular, the cementing of the monetary policy framework with the objective of maintaining inflation at moderate levels is credit positive.

  • Inflation may further rise in coming months: India Inc

    Inflation may further rise in coming months: India Inc

    "WPI inflation is expected to print between 4-4.5 percent in the remainder of 2016, whereas CPI inflation would range within 4-5 percent in the same months, closing the wedge between the two metrices," Senior Economist at ICRA Aditi Nayar said.

  • It's not a big negative if there are no rate cuts: SBI Chairman

    It's not a big negative if there are no rate cuts: SBI Chairman

    Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Arundhati Bhattacharya, Chairman, SBI, said it it won‘t be a big negative, if there are no rate cuts. But she did say that a rate cut brings in more confidence. A whole of experts, and industry experts also spoke on the RBI's latest report.

  • RBI to keep rates unchanged in August 9 policy: ICRA

    RBI to keep rates unchanged in August 9 policy: ICRA

    It said the central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged for now as CPI inflation at around 5.8 percent in June is close to upper end of RBI's target of 4 percent (+/- 2 percent).

  • RBI's annual report on state finances throws up some surprises

    RBI's annual report on state finances throws up some surprises

    Central transfers to states fell from 6.6 percent of gross domestic product in FY15 to 6.3 percent in FY16 — which is surprising especially after the FCC increased the states' share of central taxes

  • Monetary Policy: Expect repo rate cut of 25 bps & transition to MCLR regime

    Monetary Policy: Expect repo rate cut of 25 bps & transition to MCLR regime

    ICRA expects headline CPI inflation to ease further in March 2016, led by both food and core inflation, and print close to the RBI‘s target of 5.0% for March 2017. This would support the case for a 25 bps cut in the Repo rate.

  • IIP numbers disappointing but not shocking: ICRA Economist

    IIP numbers disappointing but not shocking: ICRA Economist

    “We were hoping that the November IIP numbers wouldn‘t go into the contraction zone, that they would remain low but positive,” says Aditi Nayar, Senior Economist, ICRA

  • Cong rebuffs idea of GST breakthrough after govt raises hopes

    Cong rebuffs idea of GST breakthrough after govt raises hopes

    The proposed goods and services tax (GST), India's biggest revenue shake-up since independence in 1947, seeks to replace a slew of federal and state levies, transforming the nation of 1.2 billion people into a customs union

  • Fiscal deficit target must be realistic and credible: ICRA

    Fiscal deficit target must be realistic and credible: ICRA

    The government's Mid Year Economic Review, released last week, had said the government should consider revising fiscal year 2017's fiscal deficit target from 3.5 percent currently -- with media reports pegging the new target at 3.7 or 3.9 percent.

  • See Q2 GDP, GVA at 7.3%; uptick in industry: ICRA

    See Q2 GDP, GVA at 7.3%; uptick in industry: ICRA

    Relative to the previous quarter, Aditi Nayar, Senior Economist, ICRA, expects to see an uptick in industry, mild uptick in services and agriculture and allied sectors will likely see softening

  • See July IIP marginally lower MoM; Aug CPI at 3.5%: ICRA

    See July IIP marginally lower MoM; Aug CPI at 3.5%: ICRA

    Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA, says, high frequency indicators such as auto sales numbers have been mixed. She says coal and electricity, which contribute 15% to IIP, will show a muted trend

  • July WPI worsens to -4.05%, rate cut hopes up

    July WPI worsens to -4.05%, rate cut hopes up

    The July Wholesale Price Index (WPI) contracted for ninth straight month to -4.05 percent against -2.4% in June on account of easing commodity and food prices.

  • Economy to grow 7.4-7.6% in FY16; rate cut hopes high: ICRA

    Economy to grow 7.4-7.6% in FY16; rate cut hopes high: ICRA

    "In ICRA's view, the better-than-expected monsoon and sowing turnout in June 2015 have increased the probability of a repo rate cut during the third quarter of 2015-16, as long as external developments do not result in excessive forex volatility," ICRA said in a statement.

  • WPI declines to -2.36 percent in May

    WPI declines to -2.36 percent in May

    The annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, stood at -2.36 percent (provisional) for the month of May, 2015 (over May, 2014) as compared to -2.65 percent (provisional) for the previous month and 6.18 percent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

  • Expect GDP growth at around 7.3%: Icra

    Expect GDP growth at around 7.3%: Icra

    Corporate earnings are giving a picture in terms of nominal prices, says Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA on GDP. She believes real growth could still be higher than what corporate earnings is pointing at.

  • April WPI inflation falls sixth straight month to -2.65%

    April WPI inflation falls sixth straight month to -2.65%

    Given the weakness in industrial output and downtrend in inflation, expectations of a rate cut by the RBI at its June meet have risen.

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