Motilal Oswal 's research report on Bharti Airtel
Bharti Airtel's 1QFY21 performance was better than expectations despite the COVID-19 led lockdown. India Mobile EBITDA grew 3% QoQ (10% above est.) while consol. EBITDA growth 2.4% QoQ, which reflects healthy recovery in Jun'20. Positive FCF and de-leveraging resumed with INR23b net debt reduction. We largely maintain our FY21/FY22E consol. EBITDA estimates. We have built in 7%/14% ARPU increase for FY21/FY22E, translating into 20% EBITDA CAGR over FY20-22E. 2QFY21 is expected to see healthy 4-5% India mobile revenue growth QoQ based on exit ARPU/subs as at 1QFY21 and 4G subs adds trajectory in Jun'20.
Outlook
We have increased AGR liability to INR230b (v/s INR180b earlier) to factor in the remaining part of liability as per the DoT demand. Subsequently, we have arrived at SOTP-based TP of INR700 and Maintain Buy.
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