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F&O Manual: Bearish sentiment to continue as setup remains weak

After a weak start, the market saw high volatility. Mid-afternoon gains were squandered in selling in the final hours with the benchmarks indices ending the day on a losing note

March 23, 2023 / 04:54 PM IST
The market snapped a two-day recovery on March 23 as weak cues from global markets dented sentiment for domestic equities. The weakness in the market came after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by another 25 basis points, clinging on to its fight against inflation while ignoring pressures from the banking  crisis in the US. As a result, the Nifty settled the day down 75 points, or 0.44 percent, at 17,076.90. (Blue bars show volume and golden bars open interest (OI)).
1/5
The Indian market snapped a two-day recovery on March 23 as weak global cues dented sentiment, a day after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by another 25 basis points, sticking to its fight against inflation while ignoring pressures from the banking crisis in the US. The Nifty settled 75 points, or 0.44 percent, down at 17,076.90. (The blue bars show volume and the golden open interest).
On the options front, heavy put writing was seen at 17,050 as bulls fought to limit their losses in the market. Maximum accumulation of call writers was at 17,100 as bears tried to take control over the bulls. Raj Deepak Singh, Derivatives Analyst at ICICI Securities believes the market gave a glimpse of direction in last hours of trade when it slipped into losses. "Positions formed through week suggests that sentiment will remain bearish and I will go short if the Nifty falls below 17,000," Singh said.(Bars reflect change in OI during the day. Red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.)
2/5
On the options front, heavy put writing was seen at 17,050 as the bulls fought to limit losses. The maximum accumulation of call writers was at 17,100, as the bears tried to take control. Raj Deepak Singh, Derivatives Analyst at ICICI Securities, said the market gave a glimpse of the direction in the last hours of the trade when it slipped into losses. "Positions formed through the week suggest that sentiment will remain bearish and I will go short if the Nifty falls below 17,000," Singh said. (the bars reflect changes in OI during the day. The red show call option OI and the green put option OI.)
As for Bank Nifty, maximum accumulation of put writers was seen at 39,600 while substantial call writing seemed to take place at 39,600 and 39,700. "The index needs to cross the level of 40,000 on a closing basis for continuing the up move. The index is likely to trade in the range of 39,000-40,000 and a break on either side will decide a trending move," said Kunal Shah, Senior Technical & Derivatives Analyst at LKP Securities. Major support for the index lies at 38,500. (Bars reflect a change in OI during the day. Red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.)
3/5
Vedanta witnessed a heavy buildup of short positions as open interest in the counter surged 30.9 percent, the highest in a quarter. The jump was also accompanied by the prices in the cash market hitting their lowest level in a quarter after sliding below the 20-day exponential moving average. A short build-up is a bearish sign that takes place when the price of a stock falls, along with high open interest and volume. Other stocks that saw short buildup included Hindustan Aeronautics, Bank of Baroda and Vodafone Idea. (The bars reflect the change in OI during the day. The red show call option OI and the green put option OI.)
Vedanta witnessed heavy buildup of short positions as open interest in the counter surged 30.9 percent, the highest in a quarter. The jump in open interest was also accompanied by a prices in the cash market hitting their lowest level in a quarter after sliding below the 20-day exponential moving average. A short build-up is a bearish sign that takes place when the price of a stock falls, along with high open interest and volume. Other stocks that saw short buildup included Hindustan Aeronautics, Bank of Baroda and Vodafone Idea. (Bars reflect a change in OI during the day. Red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.)
4/5
Corromandel International saw a long buildup as the company's decision to foray into speciality and industrial chemicals was cheered by investors. Open interest in the counter rose to a month's high of 5.1 percent, as the stock price climbed above the 50-day simple moving average.  A long build-up is a bullish sign that happens when open interest and volume increase with the rise in share price.  Balrampur Chini Mills, ABB India and Hindalco Industries also saw the addition of long positions.  (The bars reflect a change in OI during the day. The red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.)
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Corromandel International saw long buildup as the company's decision to foray into speciality and industrial chemicals was cheered by investors. Open interest in the counter rose to a one-month high of 5.1 percent, as the stock price climbed above the 50-day simple moving average.  A long build-up is a bullish sign that happens when open interest and volume increase with the rise in share price.  Balrampur Chini Mills, ABB India and Hindalco Industries also saw addition of long positions today.  (Bars reflect a change in OI during the day. Red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.) Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
5/5
Corromandel International saw long buildup as the company's decision to foray into speciality and industrial chemicals was cheered by investors. Open interest in the counter rose to a one-month high of 5.1 percent, as the stock price climbed above the 50-day simple moving average.  A long build-up is a bullish sign that happens when open interest and volume increase with the rise in share price.  Balrampur Chini Mills, ABB India and Hindalco Industries also saw addition of long positions today.  (Bars reflect a change in OI during the day. Red bars show call option OI and green put option OI.) Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Vaibhavi Ranjan
first published: Mar 23, 2023 04:54 pm