CRISIL's research report on KNR Constructions
KNR Constructions Ltd’s (KNR’s) standalone Q4FY17 results surpassed CRISIL Research’s estimates. Standalone revenue increased 65% y-o-y to Rs 4.8 bn owing to robust order execution. This led to EBITDA growth of 69% y-o-y and EBITDA margin expansion of 40 bps y-o-y. Despite healthy operating performance, adjusted PAT declined 9% y-o-y owing to rise in depreciation and steep fall in other income. As of FY17, the order book remains strong at Rs 38bn (book-to-bill ratio of 2.5x on LTM revenue), which provides revenue visibility for the next two years. The company received orders worth Rs 16 bn in FY17. We expect the momentum in order flow to continue owing to 1) robust outlook on government spending on road and irrigation sectors over FY18-19. 2) KNR’s strong execution track record, which should help it capitalize on the industry opportunities and 3) increasing focus on the hybrid annuity model (HAM). We retain our fundamental grade of 4/5. However, order wins and execution are key monitorables.
We have raised our estimates for FY18-19. We retain the P/E multiple of 15x for the EPC business and P/B multiple of 1x for Kerala and Muzaffarpur BOT (toll) projects. Following the upward revision in earnings, we have raised the sum-of-the-parts (SoTP)-based fair value to Rs 226 per share from Rs 180. At the current market price, our valuation grade is 3/5.
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