Edelweiss's research report onGAIL
GAIL’s Q4FY18 EBITDA at INR17bn (up 11% YoY) came 24% below estimate due to lower-than-expected performance across key segments. While transmission, trading and petrochemicals disappointed, LPG transmission surpassed expectation. Key highlights: 1) Misses: While gas transmission volumes at 106mmscmd came broadly in line, blended tariffs came 4% below.
OutlookHowever, there remains an overhang of uncontracted US LNG volumes. Stabilisation of its PATA expansion (~80% utilisation guidance for FY19) remains a key monitorable. We maintain ‘HOLD/SP’ with revised SOTP-based TP of INR365. At CMP, GAIL trades at 11.7x FY20E PER.
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