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Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The AI Slingshot

For Jan 27 edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Budget may help change the market trend, India need not worry about Trump's new immigration rules, indicators suggest an oversold market, MSME credit gap is India's latest concern, and more

January 27, 2025 / 15:40 IST
The AI industry now stands at a crossroad.

Dear Reader,
The AI revolution, once hailed as the disruptor of industries far and wide, is at the receiving end of disruption. The technology that promised to reshape the landscape of IT and various other sectors by slashing costs and, inevitably, jobs, is facing an unexpected challenger.

In recent years, AI giants like OpenAI, Meta, Perplexity AI, and Anthropic have dominated the field with their advanced language models. These companies and others in the AI space have seen their valuations soar to dizzying heights as investors scrambled to get a piece of the action. The so-called ‘Magnificent Seven’ technology stocks, in particular, have been hogging the limelight, with analysts touting them as the next big thing since sliced bread.

But a little-known Chinese research lab called DeepSeek appears to have succeeded in pricking the bubble. The contrast between DeepSeek and its more established competitors is stark and telling. While OpenAI, founded a decade ago, boasts of 4,500 employees and has raised a staggering $6.6 billion in capital, DeepSeek has produced a competing product in just two years, with a mere 200 employees and less than $6 million in funding.

This efficiency gap is reflected in DeepSeek's pricing strategy, which threatens to upend the market. The company's API (Application Programming Interface) costs are a fraction of those charged by OpenAI, with input and output token prices set at $0.55 and $2.19 per million, respectively, compared to OpenAI's $15 and $60. Such a dramatic price difference could potentially reshape the entire AI landscape, making advanced AI capabilities more accessible to a broader range of businesses and developers.

DeepSeek's emergence poses a significant challenge to the dominance of US-based companies in the AI space. However, the question remains whether it will be allowed to flourish unimpeded. The US government has shown a willingness to protect its technological advantage by restricting access to next-generation chips from companies like Nvidia. It's a well-known fact that the US is not above changing the rules of the game when it suits its interests.

In a strategic move, DeepSeek has forged partnerships with AMD, a US-based company and a leading provider of high-performance computing solutions. This alliance gives DeepSeek access to cutting-edge hardware and an open software stack, potentially enhancing its performance and scalability.

The coming weeks will determine whether the US will allow DeepSeek and other non-US AI companies to continue to leverage American technology to challenge its dominance in the field.

An analysis in Moneycontrol Pro by Prosenjit Datta sums up the battle when it says that the real impact of DeepSeek is that it has thrown the AI race open just when the US government and Silicon Valley titans had thought that they had bolted the stadium door shut to all outsiders.

This development serves as a reminder that in the fast-paced world of technology, no advantage is permanent, and disruption can come from unexpected quarters.

The AI industry now stands at a crossroad. Will the established players be able to maintain their dominance through technological superiority and regulatory support, or will newcomers like DeepSeek usher in a new era of democratised AI development? As the dust settles, one thing is clear: The AI revolution is far from over.

Investing insights from our research team

ICICI Bank Q3 FY25 – No negative surprise is a positive

IndiGo makes a strong comeback in Q3 FY25

For JSW Steel, Chinese imports pose a big challenge

Godrej Consumer: Cost, seasonality headwinds drag down India business

Laurus Labs: Operating leverage playing out

Shriram Finance: Favourable product mix, policy support key factors to sustain growth

Amber Enterprises: Stellar Q3 FY25 earnings beat expectations

What else are we reading?

Moneycontrol Pro Market Outlook | Indicators suggest an oversold market

Budget Snapshot: Can the Budget help change the market trend?

Budget 2025: Growth slowdown, global challenges can best be countered by capex focus

Why India need not worry about Trump revising immigration rules

Solar module exporters to face heat in 2025 as global market growth stalls

Budget 2025: India Inc’s Achilles Heel -- MSME credit gap

How Big Tech, Big Agri are combining to create new oligopolies

Ruchir Sharma: The world is moving on to trade without the US (republished from the FT)

India's educational system is awaiting a suitable budget

Budget needs to focus on local infrastructure to enable creation of jobs

Time ripe for streamlining withholding tax in the budget

Markets
Union Budget 2025: Investors eye GST cuts, regulatory clarity to revive insurance stocks

Tech and Startups

Not waiting for discretionary spend to return, overall tech spend has surged: Coforge CEO Sudhir Singh

Technical Picks: BHEL, BANKINDIA, NIFTY, DLF

Shishir Asthana
Moneycontrol Pro  

Shishir Asthana
Shishir Asthana
first published: Jan 27, 2025 03:40 pm

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