Motilal Oswal's research report on Dr Reddy’s Labs
Dr. Reddy’s Lab (DRRD) delivered 4QFY24 revenue in line with our estimate. However, EBITDA was lower than expected due to higher SGA expenses and R&D spending. In addition to US generics/branded generics segments, DRRD is enhancing its offering through JVs/partnerships/acquisitions in nutraceuticals, vaccine, women’s health and dietary supplement space.
Outlook
We maintain our earnings estimates for FY25/FY26. We value DRRD on SOTP basis (22x 12M forward earnings for base business and INR 90 per share for g-Revlimid) to arrive at a TP of INR 6,070. After delivering 30% YoY earnings growth in FY24, we expect earnings growth to moderate to a 3.5% CAGR over FY24-26, partly due to a gradual build-up of market share of g-Revlimid. The investment in JV with Nestle and in biosimilar segment should drive commercial benefits after FY26. We believe that the valuation adequately factors in the upside in earnings. Maintain Neutral rating on the stock.
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