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Saibal Dasgupta

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The Eastern Window: Putin set to get re-elected as sanctions fail to damage Russia

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Putin set to get re-elected as sanctions fail to damage Russia

The Russian economy is growing amid the Ukraine war, exposing the limits of Western economic sanctions. India and China have played a key role in supporting Russia in the past two years. Russian President Vladimir Putin appears set to win the next election in March 

The Eastern Window | PM’s unique outreach to the Muslim world: Is the tide turning?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window | PM’s unique outreach to the Muslim world: Is the tide turning?

Strapline: Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to UAE and Qatar was a game-changing development because they took extraordinary steps to prove their friendship towards India. The inauguration of a temple in Abu Dhabi and the release of Navy veterans in Qatar are significant moves. India is now rivalling China for influence in the Middle East at a time when the region is undergoing major changes

In a rare defiance, Pakistani voters have rejected the military’s power game

WORLD

In a rare defiance, Pakistani voters have rejected the military’s power game

Though Imran Khan’s supporters have won the election, Pakistan’s military is looking for ways to keep them out of power and hoist Nawaz Sharif as prime minister. The army is taking a huge risk

The Eastern Window: China ready to challenge Japan to become the world’s biggest auto exporter

WORLD

The Eastern Window: China ready to challenge Japan to become the world’s biggest auto exporter

Japan’s position as the world’s biggest auto exporter is being seriously challenged by China which has achieved a sharp increase in exports. Two important reasons, the Ukraine war and the growth in New Energy Vehicles, are helping China’s quest for the No. 1 slot

The Eastern Window: Will the Chinese government's desperate efforts to prop up its free-falling stock markets succeed?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Will the Chinese government's desperate efforts to prop up its free-falling stock markets succeed?

Over $6 trillion worth of valuation have been wiped out of the Chinese stock markets in the past three years. The government has taken a series of measures to stop the rout but they did not have much effect because the Chinese economy is going through a troubled period. A $278 billion rescue package has been announced but there is little hope of a market recovery

The Eastern Window: The Middle-East is now a powder keg waiting to explode

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: The Middle-East is now a powder keg waiting to explode

The root of the problem in the Middle East is the ongoing slaughter in Gaza. US strikes on Houthis demanding a stop to the carnage will not help 

The Eastern Window: Taiwan election proves to be a loss of face for Chinese leadership

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Taiwan election proves to be a loss of face for Chinese leadership

Taiwan’s election results are a vote against China’s plan to merge the island region with the Chinese mainland. It is a major loss of face for China which might consider new ways to curb Taiwanese aspirations for complete independence. However, it is unlikely to use military force in the near term

The Eastern Window: Bangladeshi voters express dissent with low turnout

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Bangladeshi voters express dissent with low turnout

A majority of Bangladesh’s voters have expressed dissatisfaction towards the government by refusing to turn up at the polling booths. Though Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina is sure to retain power, she has not been able to avoid criticism about the suppression of democratic rights.

The Pakistan military will call the shots in forthcoming elections and dictate foreign policy 

WORLD

The Pakistan military will call the shots in forthcoming elections and dictate foreign policy 

Pakistan’s military has set out to control the nation’s foreign policy as well as its dealings with foreign investors. The result will be a serious curtailment in the powers of the civilian government after the February 8 election. India also has reasons to worry about the increase in the Pakistani military’s powers

The Eastern Window: Elections in Taiwan and the US will be crucial to China’s foreign policy in 2024

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Elections in Taiwan and the US will be crucial to China’s foreign policy in 2024

China has reasons to worry about the return of a pro-independence political party to power in Taiwan and the increase in anti-China sentiment in the US election. It is also closely watching the 2024 elections in India and Pakistan

The Eastern Window: China’s stimulus move not enough to revive investor sentiment

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: China’s stimulus move not enough to revive investor sentiment

China has taken some major steps like infusing massive funds in banks to kick-start the sluggish economy. But analysts say it may not be enough to encourage new investment

The Eastern Window: China launches new programme to expand influence in Indian Ocean countries

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: China launches new programme to expand influence in Indian Ocean countries

China is trying to buy influence in 20 odd Indian Ocean countries by financing development programmes. The idea is to use these countries as future bases for spying on India and possibly conduct covert operations at a later date

The Eastern Window: Myanmar's civil war poses risks for India

WORLD

The Eastern Window: Myanmar's civil war poses risks for India

Myanmar's insurgent groups are pushing away government soldiers from key military points including some near the Indian border. As Myanmar's military junta comes under terrible pressure, China is trying to use the opportunity to grow its influence. India needs to watch the Chinese moves very carefully

The Eastern Window | China is seeking European alliances independent of the US

WORLD

The Eastern Window | China is seeking European alliances independent of the US

Under the new policy, China will allow visa-free entry for travellers from five European countries and Malaysia for business and tourism purposes for 15 days

The Eastern Window: A temporary reprieve for China after Biden-Xi meeting

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: A temporary reprieve for China after Biden-Xi meeting

There is no thaw in the cold relationship between the US and China after their respective presidents met recently. But business is pushing the two leaders to come to terms and get over the idea of decoupling. The leaders’ meeting also opened up channels of communication between the militaries of the two countries

The Eastern Window: The Biden-Xi meet will decide if they can work together on world affairs

WORLD

The Eastern Window: The Biden-Xi meet will decide if they can work together on world affairs

US President Joe Biden will try to persuade Chinese leader Xi Jinping to discourage Iran from possibly entering the Israel-Palestine war. But there is a limit to the extent he will succeed until the two powerful leaders sort out their own political differences

The Eastern Window: Bhutan King seeks Indian support amid rising China threat

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Bhutan King seeks Indian support amid rising China threat

The King of Bhutan is expected to familiarise Prime Minister Narendra Modi with the rising Chinese pressure to settle the border dispute. There is a small but rising section in Bhutan keen to normalise relations with China, but Indian interests may be harmed if China has its way in boundary settlement with Bhutan

Sheikh Hasina faces toughest political challenge in her 14-year rule in Bangladesh

WORLD

Sheikh Hasina faces toughest political challenge in her 14-year rule in Bangladesh

Though weak and divided, the opposition in Bangladesh has managed to whip up serious resistance against Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina ahead of elections in January. She needs to come up with a spectacular solution to high inflation and other economic woes to overcome the political challenge

Implications of Sharif’s return go far beyond Pakistan

POLITICS

Implications of Sharif’s return go far beyond Pakistan

Nawaz Sharif is trying to become Pakistan’s prime minister for the fourth time. But that would depend on whether the military would keep rival Imran Khan locked up long enough. If successful, Sharif might try his hand at improving relations with India and please the US by involving Pakistan in the Iranian affair 

Many power games around Gaza war

WORLD

Many power games around Gaza war

Arab countries are angry about the continued bombing of Gaza. But they are unlikely to intervene directly because each country in the Middle East has some domestic reasons compelling it to stay out of the war. The only exception is Iran which is close to Hamas and resolutely opposed to the US

Amid Israeli attack, Arab leaders fear Islamic uprising

BUSINESS

Amid Israeli attack, Arab leaders fear Islamic uprising

Arab leaders want the end of the war in Gaza. They are worried about the rising wave of sympathy for Gazans in their own countries because it would erode their influence and control over the local population. At the same time, they do not want to take the responsibility of refugees from Gaza 

Israel-Gaza war moving towards a global conflict

BUSINESS

Israel-Gaza war moving towards a global conflict

The big issue in the Middle East is whether the war between Israel and the Gaza Strip would be a localised affair or suck in foreign players like Iran, the Hezbollah group and even the US. Large-scale killings of innocent civilians are unlikely to end soon

The Eastern Window: New Maldives President represents a diplomatic challenge for India 

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: New Maldives President represents a diplomatic challenge for India 

Maldives' new pro-China President might grant greater access to the Indian Ocean to Chinese vessels. But he has to be careful about upsetting India which is a close neighbour instead of pleasing distant China. Besides, Beijing which is battling an economic slide is no more in a generous mood

Hard lessons for India from Canadian PM’s machinations

BUSINESS

Hard lessons for India from Canadian PM’s machinations

For the first time, India has been accused in the Western world of using an agent to kill someone on foreign soil. India has rejected the accusation by the Canadian Prime Minister, but it has kicked off a diplomatic row that will not go away easily. A lot will depend on which side the US takes

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