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Republican budget takes US on path to trillions in new deficits

BUSINESS

Republican budget takes US on path to trillions in new deficits

As Congress ponders a gigantic new budget resolution, supporters of fiscal moderation have gone suspiciously quiet

The Federal Reserve should pause before cutting interest rates again

BUSINESS

The Federal Reserve should pause before cutting interest rates again

Interest rates might need to fall further in 2025, but it’s too soon to say

Putin is vulnerable, US and Europe should capitalise on it

WORLD

Putin is vulnerable, US and Europe should capitalise on it

The US and Europe should exploit Russia’s economic vulnerability to negotiate a better peace

Financial scams in US are a huge problem. Banks need government help

BUSINESS

Financial scams in US are a huge problem. Banks need government help

Financial institutions are at the front lines of fighting fraud, but they can’t do it alone

Crypto’s coming back, and regulators must work to prevent disaster

BUSINESS

Crypto’s coming back, and regulators must work to prevent disaster

Basic protections can prevent frenzied trading in fundamentally worthless tokens from harming people who don’t want to be involved

Political chaos can't be allowed to put global economies at risk

BUSINESS

Political chaos can't be allowed to put global economies at risk

Economic and geopolitical threats are increasingly at odds with the apparent calm in financial markets

Rise of extremism gives Germany’s leaders another wake-up call  

BUSINESS

Rise of extremism gives Germany’s leaders another wake-up call  

Voters don’t long for the fascist past, but they’re fed up with the status quo

Big banks need a clearer view of their own risks after stress tests 

BUSINESS

Big banks need a clearer view of their own risks after stress tests 

Financial institutions need a clearer view of their own risks

US Election: Joe Biden and Donald Trump ignore fiscal crisis

WORLD

US Election: Joe Biden and Donald Trump ignore fiscal crisis

Neither candidate shows much interest in fiscal restraint. Ignoring the problem won’t make it go away

UK Elections: Labour victory can be wasted if Keir Starmer stays cautious

WORLD

UK Elections: Labour victory can be wasted if Keir Starmer stays cautious

A careful campaign is one thing. But the challenges facing Britain’s next government can’t be glossed over

Europe Elections: Climate change notches a win

BUSINESS

Europe Elections: Climate change notches a win

The European Union’s centrist leaders must learn their lessons and double down on achieving net zero

Joe Biden can’t win re-election with a failing campaign

WORLD

Joe Biden can’t win re-election with a failing campaign

The president’s numbers are bad. He can’t keep doing what he’s doing while expecting a different result

Europe Elections: Voters send a message to their failing leaders

WORLD

Europe Elections: Voters send a message to their failing leaders

Elections to the European Parliament ought to come as a salutary shock

Joe Biden’s new plan to cancel student debt as misguided as old one

WORLD

Joe Biden’s new plan to cancel student debt as misguided as old one

The administration’s latest debt-cancellation scheme will reward rich borrowers, punish taxpayers and drive up the cost of college

Where do shadow banks get their money? Your deposits

BUSINESS

Where do shadow banks get their money? Your deposits

Regulators need to address the growing links between traditional banks and the nonbank financial institutions that are increasingly taking over their business

US Presidential Elections: Trump's economic outlook is more inflation, less sanity

WORLD

US Presidential Elections: Trump's economic outlook is more inflation, less sanity

If the former president’s stated agenda is any indication, inflation is likely to make a roaring comeback

Ukraine War: German refusal to send Taurus missiles is emboldening Putin

BUSINESS

Ukraine War: German refusal to send Taurus missiles is emboldening Putin

Vladimir Putin's biggest weapon is western fear. Those who wish peace for Ukraine and Europe must first be prepared to show Putin that he cannot win

Putin’s war is decimating the Russian economy 

BUSINESS

Putin’s war is decimating the Russian economy 

The war’s consumption of able-bodied workers has driven is forcing civilian industries to pay more for scarce labour. To keep inflation in check, the central bank has had to hike its benchmark interest rate to 16%, further squeezing the private sector. The annual budget deficit is about $17 billion, but government's borrowing capacity is of limited use if domestic banks are the only available lenders. Those same banks are increasingly exposed to losses as sky-high interest rates weigh on corporate borrowers

German Protests: The country needs a new growth agenda and its people need hope 

WORLD

German Protests: The country needs a new growth agenda and its people need hope 

The end of cheap Russian energy and the rise of Chinese competition have slammed a manufacturing sector that used to drive growth. The country’s storied infrastructure is faltering. A new growth agenda that reduces overreliance on manufacturing demands deregulation of professional services, faster adoption of digital technologies, and a more flexible capital market to direct investment to new and productive uses

How financial engineering can help Europe go green

ENVIRONMENT

How financial engineering can help Europe go green

For funding renewable projects, derivatives such as two-way contracts have existed for long but inertia prevents their greater adoption. Each project has a target price, determined at a competitive auction. When market prices are lower than the target, the government makes up the difference. When the market goes higher, the producer pays the excess to the government

Europe’s migration plan deserves a chance to succeed

BUSINESS

Europe’s migration plan deserves a chance to succeed

There are no quick fixes to the challenge of migration for wealthy countries. By combining deterrence measures with a stronger commitment to burden sharing, the EU’s migration and asylum pact offers the glimmers of a constructive path forward. Now it’s up to Europe’s leaders to follow through

Putin’s shadow sanctions-busters are a test of Western resolve

BUSINESS

Putin’s shadow sanctions-busters are a test of Western resolve

The US and Europe must do more to enforce the price cap on Russian oil and maintain pressure on the Kremlin

COP28 needs less talk and more action

WORLD

COP28 needs less talk and more action

What matters now is not more minutely discussed goals, commitments and pledges, but action. It’s encouraging that, for the first time, officials at this year’s conference will weigh the findings of a formal “global stocktake” on lack of progress. That ought to stifle any desire to say “so far, so good”

US Drug Shortages: Are generic drugs too cheap for their own good?

BUSINESS

US Drug Shortages: Are generic drugs too cheap for their own good?

While prices of branded drugs have skyrocketed in recent years, generics prices have been falling steadily. Yet there’s a downside if prices fall too low: In recent months, major US manufacturers have declared bankruptcy and scaled back production. Hundreds of generic drugs are now in shortage, including lifesaving cancer treatments and medicines for premature babies

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