Global order intake for wind turbines fell by 30% in the first half of 2012 from a year earlier as core European and Asia-Pacific markets weakened but recovery could begin in 2013, MAKE Consulting said.
Wind turbine manufacturers have struggled in the global economic crisis which has hit investment in energy projects around the globe as budget-cutting governments have curbed subsidies for renewable power and financing has dried up.
Weak orders in the first half of 2012 point to a weaker 2013 in terms of turbine installations, which are seen falling by about 5% from the 2011 level, MAKE Consulting, a wind energy specialist, said in a summary of a research report.
"However, we expect that order flow could improve in 2013 and beyond," Copenhagen-based MAKE Consulting said.
The consultancy said it was tracking over 11 gigawatts (GW) of wind power capacity already outlined in framework agreements plus an additional 18 GW of possible capacity through conditional orders, providing scope for a recovery.
First-half turbine orders fell due largely to weakness in China, India, the UK and the German offshore market, MAKE said.
"Regulatory uncertainty, subsidy cuts and grid connectivity issues all contributed to the weakness and offset good growth in new emerging markets," it said.
The Americas held up well, driven by the US market where wind power developers have tried to squeeze in projects before the expiry at the end of this year of the production tax credit (PTC) for renewable energy and high order activity in several Latin American markets, MAKE Consulting said.
German engineering conglomerate Siemens
Danish wind turbine maker Vestas
But, in line with its normal practice, Vestas has yet to disclose smaller "unannounced" orders for the second quarter, which will come in its interim report on August 22. In the second quarter last year, unannounced orders were 786 MW.
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