FOMC meeting minutes, Fed’s preferred PCE price index and preliminary PMIs from US, UK and Eurozone will be in focus for the coming week.
FOMC and ECB will be in focus next week, both widely expected to deliver a 25 bps rate hike. We expect gold prices to ease a bit ahead of the FOMC, as Fed might reiterate higher rates for longer and no rate cuts in 2023. Having said that, any dovish tilt in comments might be an upside trigger for gold prices.
As of now, economically sensitive commodities are struggling for direction as participants assess the latest inflation data and await more data before the major central bank meetings in the first two weeks of May.
Chinese economic data’s will be keenly awaited as continued expansion in economic activity may hint towards first signs of an even recovery.
Investors will watch out for extended weakness in inflation and retail sales from the US next week, both of which slowed in February.
The oil market will track the OPEC+ meeting, though no changes in production quotas are expected. Markets will also react to US economic data if the banking crisis remains contained
Risk off has returned with fresh concerns about Deutsche Bank. Also, the US probe on whether financial professionals at UBS and Credit Suisse helped Russian oligarchs circumvent sanctions will add to the uncertainty and keep investor confidence fragile
Market sentiments remain fragile as the fears of a financial crisis are still far from being contained yet and hence volatile moves cannot be ruled out.
If Chinese retail sales and industrial production manage to show green shoots of recovery, it may revive demand optimism and cushion commodities.
US unemployment data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony will be closely watched for policy hints ahead of the FOMC meeting due on March 22.
Most importantly, FOMC meeting minutes and Core PCE, Fed preferred inflation gauge, will be closely watched to see if price pressures have continued to moderate after it eased to 4.4 percent YoY in December.
Next week, commodities are likely to remain subdued as investors will closely watch US labour report and manufacturing PMI figures for hints on economic activity in December. Also, FOMC meeting minutes will keep investors wary in the first trading week of 2023.
The key indicator for movement in commodities will be non-farm payrolls data next week which will reflect on the health of the labour market. Crude oil's incessant rise has also caused nervousness in the larger financial market and we may see more volatility as OPEC and allies will meet to decide their future production policy.
The pandemic crisis is far from over and large-scale vaccination may take time. The recovery seen in the global economy in the last few months is largely dependent on the virus situation as well as government stimulus measures.
The focus of Budget 2021-2022 could be largely to mend the economy and boost growth and fight inflationary pressures. While the economy came under pressure, the commodities market was also not left unaffected.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao of Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP-Commodity Research at Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP-Commodity Research at Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP-Commodity Research at Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Money managers boosted their bets on rising West Texas Intermediate prices to a record on speculation that OPEC and its partners would ease the global supply glut.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP-Commodity Research at Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP Commodity Research at Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao of Anand Rathi Commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He speaks about the current trends in the commodities market.
Watch the interview of Ravindra Rao, AVP commodity research at Anand Rathi commodities with Manisha Gupta on CNBC-TV18. He spoke about the current trend in commodities market.
From an Indian investor‘s point of view, this week will be more important as the RBI‘s monetary policy is due.